CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TNC vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcd005d23908e7e7b750f0db58777c8d473dc3261cae94d78c4994ad21f0bb44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNCof TNC, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked TNC | 76c | 4,897$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.21 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 4,390$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed TNC | 78c | 1,010$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.29 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 23c | 803.67$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.83 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 26c | 736.69$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.49 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed TNC | 50c | 666.79$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.8 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 629.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.67 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 502.32$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.42 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 36c | 488.67$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.19 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 26c | 424.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 394.59$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 57c | 350$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 292$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.38 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 36c | 286.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 281$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 224.45$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.45 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed TNC | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TNC | 45c | 189.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TNC | 63c | 181.11$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 42c | 179.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 178.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked TNC | 48c | 162.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TNC | 45c | 158.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 153.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 148.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 26c | 121$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed TNC | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed TNC | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked TNC | 51c | 97.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TNC | 42c | 96.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed TNC | 45c | 78.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TNC | 60c | 64.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed TNC | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed TNC | 51c | 60.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…1373backed TNC | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 36c | 55.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked TNC | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed TNC | 48c | 49.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed TNC | 45c | 49.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked TNC | 77c | 46.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TNC | 56c | 42.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed TNC | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 31c | 36.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2e…c9d4backed TNC | 60c | 35.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed TNC | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed TNC | 46c | 22.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…5ccabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 54c | 22.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.