Mls · resolved market
D.C. United SC vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd0a07a59627b156e07f0d2cb75a0ae1d3cc1db1588e8e3031538d78bd4b4ebe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 33c | 3,326$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 2,669$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.17 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 51c | 1,104$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.04 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 48c | 839.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 47c | 499.94$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.29 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 51c | 491.61$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.75 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 67c | 479.09$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.15 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 52c | 455.36$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.79 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 427.62$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.05 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 56c | 416.23$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.93 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked No | 49c | 297.7$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 55c | 292.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.61 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 45c | 258.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 52c | 239.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 53c | 239.57$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 59c | 208.08$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 66c | 201.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 42c | 155.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 50c | 105.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 59c | 84.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 53c | 80.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 43c | 75.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 54c | 64.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 62.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 54c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 53c | 54.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 43c | 48.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 27c | 45.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed No | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 66c | 37.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 73c | 33.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 42c | 30.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 67c | 29.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 52c | 28.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 67c | 26.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 74c | 23.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 54c | 19.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 67c | 17.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- D.C. United SC vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- D.C. United SC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- D.C. United SC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- D.C. United SC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- D.C. United SC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: D.C. United SC (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)D.C. United SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.