TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Zug: Jerome Kym vs Philip Henning

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Philip Henningof Jerome Kym, Philip Henning
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Jerome Kym12c18,296$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.428,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3a…82acbacked Jerome Kym0c12,380$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Jerome Kym53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1209044.4%40 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Jerome Kym67c3,833$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55094068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bca…0552backed Jerome Kym49c3,031$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4852045%9 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Philip Henning22c2,773$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.456,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Jerome Kym31c2,537$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.0331234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef53…4591backed Jerome Kym55c2,179$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.1617543.4%76 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Philip Henning51c2,065$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.124,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Jerome Kym52c1,800$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9364729.8%14 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jerome Kym49c1,684$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.528,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Jerome Kym57c1,656$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.0850442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…9565backed Jerome Kym46c1,435$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66011143.2%48 W · 63 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Philip Henning39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0546030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Philip Henning45c1,215$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.463,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Jerome Kym55c1,100$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61025349%124 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Philip Henning38c1,021$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.431,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Jerome Kym50c1,011$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.3936440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Philip Henning40c1,000$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.899,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Jerome Kym16c977.72$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.111,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Philip Henning50c926.22$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.374,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Philip Henning20c888.22$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.2625134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Philip Henning18c815$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.356827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf983…39a0backed Philip Henning38c568.42$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.4210135.6%36 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Jerome Kym52c561.73$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.0715545.2%70 W · 85 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Philip Henning42c539.5$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.912,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Philip Henning47c511.4$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.044,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Philip Henning49c498.05$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Philip Henning63c459.39$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.315,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Philip Henning75c448.7$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.382,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Jerome Kym49c418$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.824,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d3…a939backed Jerome Kym49c410$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.93540%14 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Jerome Kym48c369.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.552341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Jerome Kym53c359.26$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19235360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf8…5b60backed Jerome Kym56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011559.1%68 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a6…2a4bbacked Jerome Kym36c351.29$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.723647.2%17 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Jerome Kym43c336.8$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14640144.4%178 W · 223 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Philip Henning19c332$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.9230746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Jerome Kym47c281.32$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.224,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Philip Henning19c260.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.815,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2461…3eefbacked Jerome Kym31c255.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Philip Henning24c247.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.242,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Philip Henning46c244.27$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.761,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Philip Henning48c237.5$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.52,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed Jerome Kym65c230.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9920360.1%122 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Jerome Kym43c228.14$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.144751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Jerome Kym51c221.05$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4299244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Jerome Kym56c217.93$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.111,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Jerome Kym50c205.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.756,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Jerome Kym50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b8…ff48backed Philip Henning50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010955%60 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Philip Henning27c188.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.893,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Philip Henning23c186$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.576355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Philip Henning37c183.24$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4473648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Jerome Kym57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046440.5%188 W · 276 L-36.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45f2…722ebacked Jerome Kym60c158.24$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953372.7%24 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Jerome Kym63c154.46$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.854,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee4f…daa3backed Jerome Kym66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020332.5%66 W · 137 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Philip Henning30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Jerome Kym47c141.13$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.721,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Philip Henning46c140.25$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.916,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Jerome Kym48c137.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.092,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Jerome Kym47c128$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.715,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Philip Henning32c123.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5787741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa95a…6b78backed Philip Henning18c121.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Jerome Kym57c108.68$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2282958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Philip Henning48c107.77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.444,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Jerome Kym51c106.28$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.111,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Philip Henning19c102.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.731,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Philip Henning53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Jerome Kym52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5241644.5%185 W · 231 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6994…fc1fbacked Jerome Kym49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910945.9%50 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Jerome Kym52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5236053.1%191 W · 169 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Philip Henning20c97.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0843336.7%159 W · 274 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa657…31a1backed Philip Henning66c95$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.568265.9%54 W · 28 L+12.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Jerome Kym48c83.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3260452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed Philip Henning47c83.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.199340.9%38 W · 55 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Jerome Kym58c82.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.981,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Jerome Kym28c82.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.232,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Philip Henning53c82.08$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.581,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed Philip Henning21c82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7813450.7%68 W · 66 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Philip Henning53c81.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.132,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed Philip Henning51c76.39$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0918343.7%80 W · 103 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Jerome Kym62c75.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.631,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Philip Henning19c73.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.221,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe176…0f99backed Jerome Kym42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ee…794dbacked Philip Henning48c71.25$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.157356.2%41 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Jerome Kym56c69.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3794447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f5…904dbacked Jerome Kym60c66.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.652638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Philip Henning48c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.481,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Jerome Kym61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020452.5%107 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x449f…2d2ebacked Jerome Kym61c60.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7125447.6%121 W · 133 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d34…d7b5backed Jerome Kym54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4152552.4%275 W · 250 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jerome Kym80c53.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.163,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Philip Henning30c52.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2578957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Jerome Kym50c52.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0954141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x012b…7c42backed Philip Henning50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e37…5bdbbacked Jerome Kym51c48.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7519852.5%104 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Jerome Kym54c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.335060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e38…3cf1backed Jerome Kym56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.