Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf2f0cfa7ac2189a4a29a4613a38cdea8f74eca7b96ee21084ad7d9a25c73a19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 37c | 2,006$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.49 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 62c | 866.12$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.82 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 51c | 564.04$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.39 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 539$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.94 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 64c | 531.04$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.7 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 41c | 523.41$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.91 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 56c | 390.36$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.58 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 33c | 370$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 23c | 361.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 49c | 334.09$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…ab49backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 63c | 276$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 37c | 266.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 26c | 239.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 234.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 71c | 211.84$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 59c | 211.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 66c | 193.59$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 61c | 176.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 37c | 169.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 11c | 169.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 161.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…401ebacked Yes | 31c | 154.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.02 | 374 | 17.4%65 W · 309 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 8c | 150.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 36c | 128.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 34c | 127.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 36c | 125.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 41c | 122.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 66c | 109$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 67c | 109$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…d402backed Yes | 37c | 106.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 16c | 105.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 35c | 103.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…5b53backed No | 63c | 97.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 63c | 94.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 38c | 92.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 27c | 85.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…6c1ebacked No | 63c | 79.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 106 | 71.7%76 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 38c | 77.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 28c | 77.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 40c | 76.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 67c | 75.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 54c | 75.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…d09cbacked No | 64c | 74.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 30c | 74.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed No | 70c | 71.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 44c | 65.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 40c | 65.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 64c | 62.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 58c | 61.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 65c | 56.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 44c | 56.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 55c | 54.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 44c | 52.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 75c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…0469backed Yes | 33c | 46.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…49a4backed No | 51c | 46.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 41c | 46.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf92…150fbacked Yes | 41c | 45.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 60c | 44.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30f2…507fbacked No | 69c | 42.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 36c | 41.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 30c | 41.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 34c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 61c | 39.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 65c | 39.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0f…431cbacked Yes | 44c | 38.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…ef14backed No | 52c | 38.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 38.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…89a1backed Yes | 35c | 37.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 37c | 36.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 44c | 35.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 31c | 34.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 32c | 34.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…bf7bbacked Yes | 37c | 32.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 63c | 31.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 36c | 30.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 29.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x23d2…bc8ebacked No | 68c | 27.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes | 53c | 27.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 58c | 25.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 53c | 25.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or below on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.