Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84863ad228ec915e76f822fbf27f1fd8533906ff7573ae8bdaad08076ec430a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 3c | 5,616$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 30c | 1,481$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.66 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 64c | 1,117$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.82 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed No | 53c | 718.65$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.17 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 31c | 610.35$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 19c | 564.82$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 21c | 548.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 539$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.05 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 32c | 381.66$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.32 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 71c | 371.42$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 33c | 362.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 75c | 329.98$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed Yes | 31c | 320.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 35c | 314.07$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 71c | 300.53$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 9c | 276.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 70c | 259$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 27c | 257.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 22c | 248.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…05fbbacked No | 76c | 246.15$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 26c | 240.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 26c | 239.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 49c | 206.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 56c | 199.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 36c | 195.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 40c | 193.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 33c | 180.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 173.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 71c | 172$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da0…ca1ebacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 148.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…8147backed Yes | 33c | 141.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 63c | 141.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 24c | 129.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 53c | 126.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed No | 77c | 125.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 75c | 117$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 65c | 114.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Yes | 45c | 110.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 17c | 107.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 77c | 100.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 28c | 98.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 72c | 97.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 65c | 95.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…ab49backed No | 66c | 93.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846b…63b6backed No | 66c | 92.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…8239backed No | 74c | 92.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66f4…6ad5backed Yes | 31c | 89.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 26c | 80.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 349 | 22.9%80 W · 269 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 33c | 78.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x84c2…c908backed Yes | 20c | 76.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 67c | 76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 64c | 75.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…8c79backed No | 80c | 72.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 41c | 68.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 27c | 68.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 68c | 67.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 65.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 64c | 63.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 71c | 62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…04c2backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed No | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes | 42c | 57.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 54c | 57.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Yes | 44c | 57.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked No | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed Yes | 35c | 56.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…251fbacked Yes | 41c | 55.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +16.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 75c | 51.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…3bd7backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 28c | 49.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 24c | 49.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…ca40backed No | 71c | 49.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 37c | 49.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed No | 61c | 48.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1704…b0e1backed No | 69c | 48.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 72c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 46c | 47.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 31c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 40c | 46.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 45c | 46.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 77c | 46.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 23c | 45.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c0…22b4backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked Yes | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or below on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.