WNBA · resolved market
Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf95da2153c0a5d4916fde977c1bdbf257d461ff8b848bf9dc38385cec4bb200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 40c | 4,267$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.2 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Under | 51c | 4,139$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 3,105$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.82 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 2,999$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.13 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 51c | 2,465$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.9 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 2,034$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.34 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 50c | 1,322$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 557.67$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.86 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…df7fbacked Over | 50c | 392$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Over | 51c | 365.04$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.18 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 76c | 335.69$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 258.46$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 231.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1031…2febbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 55c | 203.35$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16df…9653backed Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…4fdbbacked Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…1755backed Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 136.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…3266backed Under | 79c | 127.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 47c | 126$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Over | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 55c | 103.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 55c | 103.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Over | 47c | 103.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…c69abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…167ebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 99.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Over | 49c | 98.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…ac3dbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199c…2515backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…6a8bbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…c4cfbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66cf…6eb7backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c5…122cbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 50c | 97.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 136 | 61.8%84 W · 52 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 50c | 91.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 60.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 43c | 55.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 49c | 42.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…2ae5backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 56c | 37.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 32.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Over | 51c | 30.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 50c | 29.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…7e67backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5this page
- Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.