WNBA · resolved market
Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eaa437a765eade9be9ae4f391d3ec07baf2625fdb93d578a5f9992fe107088a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c00…64a6backed Over | 49c | 10,095$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,946.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 5,539$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.65 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Over | 42c | 2,743$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.4 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 2,631$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.13 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 22c | 2,486$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.32 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Over | 2c | 1,743$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 1,341$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.09 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 36c | 612.12$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Over | 47c | 604.5$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 57c | 548.81$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.35 | 136 | 61.8%84 W · 52 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 541.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 53c | 385.84$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.33 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 48c | 289.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 49c | 216.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 51c | 193.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 53c | 192.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 53c | 192.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…88ecbacked Over | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 43c | 103.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Over | 48c | 101.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 50c | 91.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 54c | 89.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 50c | 74.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 18c | 71.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 46c | 71.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Over | 50c | 68.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 54c | 59.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…2383backed Under | 53c | 54.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Over | 25c | 52.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Over | 57c | 52.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 38c | 52.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 48c | 52.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Under | 58c | 50.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 46.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Under | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 41.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Over | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 49c | 32.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…1773backed Under | 44c | 28.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…f368backed Under | 73c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 51c | 24.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 58c | 24.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Under | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Over | 48c | 21.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5this page
- Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.