WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3107058cdb0ee34fa0519fd45134f29c65d135d9efa17795793c5d8873a2f5ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Portland Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Portland Fire | 51c | 60,371$31,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,081.96 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6820…1c19backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 60,000$28,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,011.92 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2627…fa13backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Portland Fire | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.99 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 3,850$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…ca29backed Portland Fire | 48c | 3,548$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.11 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Portland Fire | 50c | 2,951$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.72 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Portland Fire | 50c | 2,609$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.26 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…01e6backed Portland Fire | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,823$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.7 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Portland Fire | 50c | 1,607$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.73 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Portland Fire | 51c | 1,219$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.67 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 1,155$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Portland Fire | 49c | 1,087$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.27 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 968.07$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.56 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Portland Fire | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Portland Fire | 49c | 461.22$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 458.76$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.97 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Portland Fire | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Portland Fire | 49c | 416.33$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Portland Fire | 51c | 389.22$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.17 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Dallas Wings | 57c | 369.17$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.26 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Portland Fire | 52c | 300.02$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 283.16$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Portland Fire | 51c | 222$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Portland Fire | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…b44abacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Portland Fire | 49c | 186.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Portland Fire | 48c | 182.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Portland Fire | 50c | 144.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…14fdbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 133.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Portland Fire | 48c | 106.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Portland Fire | 52c | 101.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Portland Fire | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Portland Fire | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…abb5backed Portland Fire | 48c | 83.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Portland Fire | 50c | 80.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Portland Fire | 52c | 77.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 59.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Portland Fire | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 49.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Portland Fire | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.30per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Portland Fire | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Portland Fire | 49c | 38.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Portland Fire | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…2f2abacked Portland Fire | 49c | 32.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Portland Fire | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Portland Fire | 49c | 29.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 27.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Portland Fire | 50c | 26.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Portland Fire | 49c | 21.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fd…4727backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 20.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)this page
- Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.