WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1556857f8c4450cf5c17b4da91e2593afd7162d4a10d611063bb53c5c6f31e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Portland Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Portland Fire | 47c | 4,993$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.91 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 4,882$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.6 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 68c | 2,086$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.15 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…01e6backed Portland Fire | 46c | 1,870$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 1,416$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.85 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Portland Fire | 24c | 1,218$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.31 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Portland Fire | 44c | 945.39$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Portland Fire | 47c | 761.57$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.94 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Portland Fire | 48c | 630.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Portland Fire | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 580.07$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 449.58$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.79 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Portland Fire | 50c | 449.58$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.79 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Dallas Wings | 56c | 260.89$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Dallas Wings | 58c | 220$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Portland Fire | 46c | 207.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Portland Fire | 44c | 186.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Portland Fire | 47c | 168.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 135$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 126$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…589ebacked Dallas Wings | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 92.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Portland Fire | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Portland Fire | 47c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 74.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Portland Fire | 44c | 72.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 66.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Dallas Wings | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Portland Fire | 46c | 47.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Dallas Wings | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…9085backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 42.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Portland Fire | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Dallas Wings | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 234 | 67.5%158 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Portland Fire | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 30.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 27.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Portland Fire | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 20.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)this page
- Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.