WNBA · resolved market
Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23435026d6748b48b8cee2ea8eef53566892c8000b69f193353c4a2da03058fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ab1…1975backed Under | 52c | 35,054$18,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,825.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 33,887$16,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,314.15 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 48c | 13,645$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,549.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 53c | 3,796$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.69 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 2,181$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.1 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 1,410$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.1 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 5c | 1,153$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 1,135$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.12 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 53c | 987.66$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.46 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 858.95$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.76 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 50c | 849.31$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.53 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 691.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.24 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Over | 52c | 544.9$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 426.85$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.2 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 401.77$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.16 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 354.17$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 47c | 345.74$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 65c | 340.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 328 | 49.4%162 W · 166 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a9…b432backed Over | 53c | 305.83$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 46c | 300$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 47c | 256.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 51c | 195.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 182$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 160.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Over | 51c | 137.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 122.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 51c | 117$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 49c | 113.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 49c | 112.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 136 | 61.8%84 W · 52 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 104.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Over | 48c | 103.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Over | 44c | 94.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 50c | 91.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 48c | 81.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 327 | 49.5%162 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 50c | 74.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 44c | 63.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab1…bb62backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 32c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 49c | 56.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 49c | 56.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x14a4…c39bbacked Over | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 68c | 52.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 50.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 49c | 50.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 32c | 46.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…cd46backed Over | 52c | 38.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…96a0backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…99ecbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 34.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 50c | 33.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…0d2dbacked Under | 50c | 31.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 47c | 31.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 46c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed Under | 80c | 25.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5this page
- Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.