Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Alisa Vasileva vs Maiko Uchijima
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe084ffc3eca7c2071990ca7f55be429fc3624766c0ad196a2cf7594d6b860a0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maiko Uchijimaof Alisa Vasileva, Maiko Uchijima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Maiko Uchijima | 35c | 12,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alisa Vasileva | 66c | 7,918$5,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,205.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Alisa Vasileva | 28c | 6,569$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.43 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Maiko Uchijima | 42c | 5,251$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.29 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Alisa Vasileva | 55c | 1,139$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.23 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Alisa Vasileva | 77c | 1,132$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.93 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Maiko Uchijima | 16c | 1,091$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.13 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…bbb8backed Alisa Vasileva | 39c | 1,070$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.63 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Maiko Uchijima | 24c | 635.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.57 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Alisa Vasileva | 60c | 581.13$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.68 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Alisa Vasileva | 54c | 401.92$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.08 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Alisa Vasileva | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Maiko Uchijima | 59c | 395$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Maiko Uchijima | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Alisa Vasileva | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 207 | 49.8%103 W · 104 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Alisa Vasileva | 52c | 308.59$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Alisa Vasileva | 45c | 268$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…29dcbacked Alisa Vasileva | 51c | 222.82$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alisa Vasileva | 45c | 222.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Maiko Uchijima | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alisa Vasileva | 31c | 172.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Maiko Uchijima | 59c | 126$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Alisa Vasileva | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…2bedbacked Maiko Uchijima | 74c | 105.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e14…5169backed Alisa Vasileva | 60c | 102.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…23b4backed Maiko Uchijima | 15c | 102$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Maiko Uchijima | 52c | 95.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Maiko Uchijima | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alisa Vasileva | 51c | 83.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Maiko Uchijima | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Alisa Vasileva | 27c | 58.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Maiko Uchijima | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Alisa Vasileva | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…4a59backed Alisa Vasileva | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Maiko Uchijima | 53c | 34.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Maiko Uchijima | 56c | 30.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Maiko Uchijima | 70c | 28.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Alisa Vasileva | 46c | 25.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Alisa Vasileva | 72c | 23.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Maiko Uchijima | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Maiko Uchijima | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Maiko Uchijima | 78c | 13.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.