Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0d33e7a71c165eeb64403cac38fd46f86783980634d17d12cf530ad6bf1b81e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 3c | 1,224$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 23c | 706.11$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 588.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed Yes | 67c | 560.87$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 42c | 386.53$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.78 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 13c | 326.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 34c | 324.79$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.01 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 39c | 319.21$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 35c | 259.94$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 13c | 252.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 251.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 32c | 235.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…8a87backed No | 28c | 226.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 31c | 209.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…2bcabacked Yes | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 59c | 186.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 35c | 182.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked No | 6c | 171.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 31c | 168.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.91 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…8a4cbacked Yes | 76c | 143.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 71c | 129.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 41c | 127.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05a…919abacked Yes | 19c | 121.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 76c | 115.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 115.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94af…e65fbacked Yes | 35c | 103.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…a622backed Yes | 26c | 96.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 63c | 92.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 67c | 92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…a97bbacked No | 74c | 90.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 87.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 39c | 84.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeac…2970backed Yes | 26c | 79.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6de…9452backed Yes | 50c | 78.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 62c | 77.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 33c | 74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Yes | 47c | 73.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 35c | 67.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 45c | 64.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 77c | 62.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 70c | 61.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 22c | 61.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 26c | 61.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe508…5885backed Yes | 73c | 61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…bf33backed No | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 48c | 58.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…cd72backed No | 54c | 55.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe16…d380backed Yes | 70c | 53.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 65c | 51.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…c0dbbacked Yes | 46c | 51.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 191 | 60.7%116 W · 75 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…4d7bbacked Yes | 69c | 49.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 37c | 48.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…dfb2backed No | 76c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…0c67backed Yes | 44c | 47.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 61c | 47.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 67c | 46.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 249 | 21.3%53 W · 196 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…9936backed No | 51c | 46.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 42c | 46.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…36d6backed Yes | 50c | 46.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10f…7972backed Yes | 42c | 44.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed No | 42c | 41.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…ddcebacked Yes | 53c | 41.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 48c | 39.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…b944backed Yes | 53c | 38.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…39e5backed Yes | 38c | 34.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 69c | 34.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 32c | 33.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…175bbacked Yes | 59c | 32.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 31.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 76c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…0312backed No | 64c | 30.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 49c | 29.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…3f6dbacked No | 52c | 28.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 42c | 28.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…043abacked No | 54c | 28.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 66c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 70c | 27.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 46c | 26.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd27…ca0abacked No | 76c | 25.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 53c | 22.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked Yes | 64c | 22.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 58c | 20.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…bfbebacked Yes | 63c | 19.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d8a1backed No | 74c | 19.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 77c | 19.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked Yes | 59c | 17.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.