Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Baylor Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1883f52b71ccf7c37e1292e93f9e8b32490661b6304c6ba52eab7b1201fcf2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baylor Bearsof Arizona State Sun Devils, Baylor Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 26c | 6,890$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.16 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 54c | 5,180$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.52 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baylor Bears | 67c | 4,002$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.17 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 9c | 3,501$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.33 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Baylor Bears | 73c | 3,249$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.23 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Baylor Bears | 64c | 2,778$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.77 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 27c | 2,139$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.53 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Baylor Bears | 61c | 2,102$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.22 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 25c | 2,064$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.82 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 34c | 1,534$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.43 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 31c | 1,344$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.13 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Baylor Bears | 72c | 1,284$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.62 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baylor Bears | 54c | 1,265$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.35 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baylor Bears | 66c | 1,024$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Baylor Bears | 57c | 1,020$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.3 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baylor Bears | 72c | 967.68$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.29 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Baylor Bears | 74c | 958.01$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 38c | 890.94$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.15 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Baylor Bears | 75c | 708.32$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.08 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 20c | 450.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Baylor Bears | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.29 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Baylor Bears | 62c | 431.3$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.97 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 37c | 427.03$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baylor Bears | 57c | 395$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.88 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Baylor Bears | 76c | 327$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Baylor Bears | 77c | 324.04$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 25c | 309.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Baylor Bears | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Baylor Bears | 63c | 225.64$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 52c | 218.14$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Baylor Bears | 48c | 210.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…615cbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 60c | 200.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baylor Bears | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 51c | 168.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Baylor Bears | 76c | 151$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 27c | 145.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Baylor Bears | 73c | 128$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 23c | 125.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…cd22backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 38c | 104.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 10c | 102.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 32c | 96.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 34c | 95.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 39c | 95.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Baylor Bears | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 23c | 90.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…bf81backed Baylor Bears | 48c | 82.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baylor Bears | 37c | 79.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Baylor Bears | 77c | 72.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 27c | 71.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Baylor Bears | 54c | 70.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Baylor Bears | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Baylor Bears | 77c | 53.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 36c | 51.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Baylor Bears | 50c | 47.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Baylor Bears | 56c | 36.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Baylor Bears | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Baylor Bears | 77c | 26.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 78cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 50c | 25.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 50c | 23.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…cb3abacked Baylor Bears | 64c | 21.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Baylor Bears | 70c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Baylor Bears | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Baylor Bearsthis page
- Spread: Baylor Bears (-7.5)Arizona State Sun Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.