MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe221b9ccd99b233c906a71bfa4ec9d990486fa1daee49b0952b3baf868a2b479
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Samsung Lions, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 2,405$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.02 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 39c | 1,332$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.39 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 33c | 1,174$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.24 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…ffa6backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 550.05$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doosan Bears | 63c | 467.55$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Samsung Lions | 48c | 410.33$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.96 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 33c | 350.95$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Samsung Lions | 39c | 345.24$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Samsung Lions | 37c | 341$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.59 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 258.06$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 255.55$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 245.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 184.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 142$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Samsung Lions | 35c | 136.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Doosan Bears | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Samsung Lions | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Samsung Lions | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…650cbacked Samsung Lions | 37c | 59.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…8c1ebacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 58.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Samsung Lions | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 43.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…25e0backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 38.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 36.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 35.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 29.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 28.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 24.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.