CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe282a66880076f6c3dc96a73881e49d8eb7aa469c0b73f21f8c81604fced57c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE | 62c | 437.08$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked KOLESIE | 63c | 369.91$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 239$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE | 37c | 230.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked KOLESIE | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed KOLESIE | 63c | 189.84$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 189.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 157$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 152.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 152$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 124.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 123.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 113.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 107.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed KOLESIE | 40c | 106.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 98.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 94.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 87.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 87.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 74.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 64.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 62.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed KOLESIE | 57c | 60.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 56.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed KOLESIE | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed KOLESIE | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked KOLESIE | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 39.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 32.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KOLESIE | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 18.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed KOLESIE | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group DKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs KOLESIE (+3.5)KOLESIE won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5)KOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.