MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe325a5ee945a09a0cdc22057699ec35c272b9fd1325b8bc91940fc6952b79a61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angelsof Marlins, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 17c | 68,159$11,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,442.22 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 39c | 5,354$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.27 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 17c | 5,117$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.07 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Marlins | 10c | 4,030$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Angels | 59c | 1,928$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.91 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Marlins | 13c | 1,900$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.12 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 28c | 1,760$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…5f7cbacked Marlins | 42c | 1,753$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed Angels | 58c | 1,750$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Marlins | 23c | 1,729$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.57 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Marlins | 1c | 1,541$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Angels | 59c | 1,502$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.85 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 26c | 1,314$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 10c | 1,174$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 40c | 1,151$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Angels | 60c | 1,150$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.41 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 38c | 1,105$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.52 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Marlins | 15c | 1,001$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Marlins | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Marlins | 2c | 989$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Angels | 59c | 765$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.65 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Marlins | 11c | 650$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Marlins | 6c | 638.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Marlins | 20c | 539.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 6c | 531$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Marlins | 42c | 504.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.13 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Marlins | 6c | 488.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Angels | 60c | 469.69$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.82 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 41c | 445.28$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.56 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Angels | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Marlins | 3c | 399.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Angels | 60c | 368.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.33 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 58c | 344.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.89 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Angels | 60c | 335$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Marlins | 41c | 317.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Angels | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Marlins | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Marlins | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Marlins | 12c | 219.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Marlins | 5c | 210$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Marlins | 26c | 202.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Marlins | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Angels | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…5739backed Angels | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Angels | 58c | 143.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 39c | 138.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Marlins | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Marlins | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Angels | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Angels | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Angels | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Angels | 66c | 63.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…a802backed Angels | 59c | 62.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0e…551ebacked Marlins | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…2d83backed Marlins | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b10…c396backed Angels | 72c | 57.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Angels | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Marlins | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Angels | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb05…4d1dbacked Angels | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…786ebacked Angels | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Angels | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8065…4950backed Marlins | 42c | 32.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…e08dbacked Marlins | 42c | 27.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Angels | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Angels | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…a88dbacked Angels | 60c | 24.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Angels | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a3…8b71backed Angels | 60c | 21.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Angels | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…33a7backed Angels | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…e295backed Angels | 60c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.