WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe37a4a77b4dfd195df038c736eda03dfbe9570ab08d46a56bda497e31b9ab697
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 9,971$5,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,880.3 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.98 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 6,154$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 5,534$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 4,653$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.36 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 3,975$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.77 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 3,028$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.79 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 2,487$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.17 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 2,429$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.08 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 2,013$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.34 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 1,715$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.7 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 1,670$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.35 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 1,531$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.02 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 1,461$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.08 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 1,068$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 999.28$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 722.3$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.77 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 665.65$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.64 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 520.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 482.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.34 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 386$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 316.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 301.88$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.98 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 299.96$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Las Vegas Aces | 69c | 296.54$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 7c | 285.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 275.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 253.39$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 240$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 210.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 201$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 197.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…3a41backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 181.02$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 179.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Golden State Valkyries | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 136.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 129.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 121.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 113.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 102$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 59c | 99.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 79.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 72.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 68.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Las Vegas Aces | 73c | 59.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 55.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 51.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 48.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 37.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 35.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…9945backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 31.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae40…9edabacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 26.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 26.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 25.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 24.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 23.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 21.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Las Vegas Aces | 61c | 16.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 167.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 169.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.