Tennis · resolved market
Piracicaba: Thiago Cigarran vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3ec589fc73b7a3f749530dfedc4bcf20b9d01e39cf6c92b24a4693dd80b6499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santiago Rodriguez Tavernaof Thiago Cigarran, Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thiago Cigarran | 19c | 12,470$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.84 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Thiago Cigarran | 7c | 5,900$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.79 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Thiago Cigarran | 9c | 4,284$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.77 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 69c | 1,475$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.81 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 79c | 1,169$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 74c | 1,095$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 79c | 1,015$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 68c | 999.99$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.21 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Thiago Cigarran | 44c | 932.31$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.73 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 63c | 912.03$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.49 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Thiago Cigarran | 32c | 868.31$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.86 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 73c | 759.32$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Thiago Cigarran | 22c | 611.83$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Thiago Cigarran | 22c | 545.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 70c | 530$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.7 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Thiago Cigarran | 43c | 488.73$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.57 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 62c | 476.69$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.13 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 69c | 470$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Thiago Cigarran | 26c | 443.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Thiago Cigarran | 33c | 393.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 58c | 384.48$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.58 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 72c | 378.95$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thiago Cigarran | 9c | 357.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 59c | 339.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Thiago Cigarran | 18c | 337$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Thiago Cigarran | 24c | 320$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 69c | 314.71$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.64 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 64c | 312.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Thiago Cigarran | 12c | 297.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Thiago Cigarran | 40c | 273.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Thiago Cigarran | 39c | 264.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Thiago Cigarran | 18c | 252.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 67c | 250.97$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Thiago Cigarran | 26c | 233.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Thiago Cigarran | 42c | 233.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Thiago Cigarran | 31c | 232.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Thiago Cigarran | 32c | 210.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Thiago Cigarran | 24c | 208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Thiago Cigarran | 11c | 198$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Thiago Cigarran | 32c | 182.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Thiago Cigarran | 18c | 163.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Thiago Cigarran | 23c | 159.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 72c | 159.21$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 78c | 156.8$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Thiago Cigarran | 33c | 142.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 478 | 57.9%277 W · 201 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Thiago Cigarran | 39c | 136$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 69c | 116.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Thiago Cigarran | 28c | 111.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 74c | 105.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Thiago Cigarran | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 63c | 84.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Thiago Cigarran | 24c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…9d1abacked Thiago Cigarran | 40c | 59.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 77c | 54.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d45…b9b3backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 50c | 49.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Thiago Cigarran | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 49c | 39.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 63c | 35.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 72c | 34.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 61c | 32.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Thiago Cigarran | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 78c | 30.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9260…7a42backed Thiago Cigarran | 42c | 27.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 77c | 20.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.