Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Gloucestershire vs Surrey
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4859e48d13579d52cda2ec97d5203de4f1dc8dd75e8b8aeb478d8e8aa1345b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gloucestershireof Gloucestershire, Surrey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Gloucestershire | 71c | 15,158$10,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,412.04 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Surrey | 65c | 9,109$5,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,937.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Surrey | 35c | 7,943$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.83 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Gloucestershire | 44c | 4,679$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.95 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gloucestershire | 37c | 4,217$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.98 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Surrey | 35c | 3,477$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.23 | 434 | 41%178 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…7705backed Gloucestershire | 71c | 1,932$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Surrey | 33c | 933.67$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.45 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Surrey | 63c | 872.38$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.5 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Gloucestershire | 51c | 790.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Surrey | 63c | 634.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Surrey | 33c | 597$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.38 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gloucestershire | 61c | 564.42$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Surrey | 20c | 441$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Surrey | 41c | 395.19$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.67 | 219 | 36.5%80 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…5f78backed Surrey | 33c | 390.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Surrey | 7c | 349.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 269 | 29.4%79 W · 190 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Surrey | 12c | 307.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 129 | 16.3%21 W · 108 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc2…c4b3backed Surrey | 51c | 247$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b45fbacked Surrey | 45c | 234.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Surrey | 32c | 219.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…1762backed Surrey | 54c | 200.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Surrey | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…40d8backed Surrey | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…5438backed Surrey | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…ce29backed Gloucestershire | 49c | 145.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 203 | 63.5%129 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Surrey | 55c | 128.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Gloucestershire | 52c | 128.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gloucestershire | 53c | 108.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gloucestershire | 47c | 103.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 385 | 44.4%171 W · 214 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…eeaabacked Surrey | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…b754backed Surrey | 28c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…23e0backed Gloucestershire | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Surrey | 62c | 98.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Gloucestershire | 39c | 94.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Surrey | 53c | 94.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Gloucestershire | 47c | 84.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Surrey | 38c | 82.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Gloucestershire | 50c | 81.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Surrey | 64c | 78.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Surrey | 35c | 78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gloucestershire | 36c | 68.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Gloucestershire | 35c | 68.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Gloucestershire | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Gloucestershire | 77c | 61.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Gloucestershire | 36c | 52.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Gloucestershire | 54c | 49.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Surrey | 62c | 46.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Surrey | 50c | 42.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Surrey | 62c | 40.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Gloucestershire | 34c | 39.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…3b09backed Gloucestershire | 38c | 39.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…f527backed Gloucestershire | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Surrey | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked Surrey | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…7e2bbacked Surrey | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Surrey | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…e893backed Gloucestershire | 52c | 20.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8b…d796backed Surrey | 55c | 18.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…f4d0backed Surrey | 65c | 16.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.