MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5ed90ca8105e7809194e48b307e982bc18ba3ca1cfca70c95bd3f94b84583aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 6,455$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.77 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 58c | 3,041$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.7 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 2,708$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.41 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 42c | 1,930$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.36 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 48c | 1,587$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.24 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 70c | 1,338$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.2 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 12c | 1,191$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 52c | 884.65$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 674.64$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 569.33$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.44 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 37c | 500.56$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 36c | 487.33$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 54c | 439$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.15 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 419.97$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.39 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 344.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 64c | 265$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Over | 48c | 262.74$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 40c | 245.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 63c | 159.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 63c | 157.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 62c | 148.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 127$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Under | 51c | 117.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 45c | 101.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 43c | 98.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 44c | 92.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 56c | 70.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Over | 74c | 69.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 47c | 67.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 53c | 67.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 38c | 62.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 47c | 61.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 54c | 60.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 56.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 56c | 56.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…9c13backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 60c | 49.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 47c | 35.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 47c | 29.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 53c | 28.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 50c | 26.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 47c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 49c | 24.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…bd7ebacked Under | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.