Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on April 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe65f8c8448cd76ae5f55014eaeac38b7a07c286febb91452161c298d84780ea3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 19c | 1,368$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.48 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa175…82f1backed No | 19c | 989.34$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 65c | 602.37$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.58 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 14c | 588.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 68c | 553.35$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.78 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 31c | 513.58$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 11c | 494.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 7c | 485.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…75a9backed No | 7c | 457.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 217 | 22.6%49 W · 168 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…c53fbacked No | 19c | 397.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 35c | 367.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 263.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 79c | 251.9$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 6c | 251.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 77c | 209.33$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 47c | 190.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 8c | 184.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 9c | 177.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b1…2d82backed No | 27c | 170.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 66c | 169.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…bf33backed No | 28c | 149.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 59c | 134.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 10c | 133.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 129.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 16c | 126.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…e62abacked Yes | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 236 | 77.1%182 W · 54 L | +23.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 68c | 107.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 9c | 106.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 24c | 105.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 12c | 97.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe14e…4286backed Yes | 80c | 96.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed No | 17c | 94.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed No | 16c | 92.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 163 | 20.2%33 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…d405backed Yes | 53c | 92.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 70c | 86.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 17c | 86.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6889…f2e3backed No | 23c | 81.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 20c | 78.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 19c | 78.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 75c | 65.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…137ebacked No | 21c | 64.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 136 | 63.2%86 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…961fbacked No | 17c | 62.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 71c | 59.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 38c | 59.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 55c | 54.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 29c | 53.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 58c | 51.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 53c | 47.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 53c | 46.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 22c | 46.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 70c | 44.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…8169backed No | 41c | 43.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…0822backed Yes | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…c7d5backed Yes | 71c | 40.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b28…d9c1backed No | 47c | 40.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 79c | 40.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd731…4199backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 92 | 73.9%68 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cd…aecdbacked No | 30c | 39.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…3512backed No | 30c | 39.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed No | 33c | 38.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…ad9dbacked Yes | 57c | 33.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked Yes | 71c | 33.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…c5aabacked No | 49c | 31.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290c…ab10backed Yes | 56c | 31.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 44c | 29.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…42a6backed Yes | 52c | 29.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 51c | 29.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…11f5backed Yes | 79c | 29.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…d987backed Yes | 67c | 29.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 70c | 27.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 74c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…4d9fbacked Yes | 61c | 24.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 146 | 17.1%25 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 53c | 22.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 61c | 21.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed Yes | 55c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241d…be08backed Yes | 67c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e4c2backed Yes | 72c | 20.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed No | 61c | 18.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…7227backed Yes | 80c | 18.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 97 | 79.4%77 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…fcc9backed Yes | 79c | 16.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 75c | 13.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on April 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.