NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe66f91322820bba90ca87aef3685758fbf41d7ba8b804f41c56b501aa8d957e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $416,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $477,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Wizards | 23c | 125,000$28,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,499.99 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 0c | 59,771$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Magic | 77c | 51,363$39,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,688.38 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Magic | 77c | 41,050$31,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,462.5 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Magic | 78c | 25,250$19,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Wizards | 14c | 20,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Magic | 77c | 13,300$10,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 76c | 13,130$9,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Magic | 76c | 12,180$9,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.2 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Magic | 76c | 10,315$7,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.19 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Wizards | 23c | 8,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…86dabacked Magic | 4c | 7,900$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,584 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Wizards | 24c | 7,777$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.47 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…5823backed Wizards | 19c | 5,002$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.4 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…2c31backed Wizards | 5c | 4,181$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.05 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 24c | 4,100$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Wizards | 10c | 4,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Magic | 75c | 3,773$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.25 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wizards | 21c | 3,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Wizards | 24c | 2,989$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.45 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Wizards | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Wizards | 24c | 2,450$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Wizards | 7c | 2,268$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Magic | 76c | 2,105$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.26 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Wizards | 23c | 2,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 9c | 1,999$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Magic | 76c | 1,942$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.7 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Wizards | 27c | 1,830$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.98 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Magic | 77c | 1,789$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.79 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic | 76c | 1,645$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.9 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wizards | 24c | 1,547$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.34 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Magic | 71c | 1,495$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.4 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 23c | 1,376$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.77 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Magic | 76c | 1,200$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4128…6623backed Wizards | 24c | 1,117$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4007…3a07backed Magic | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wizards | 23c | 950.98$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.72 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Wizards | 23c | 874$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…6ac3backed Wizards | 17c | 799.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wizards | 19c | 700$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards | 25c | 670$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…dc1bbacked Wizards | 14c | 670$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Wizards | 12c | 640.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Wizards | 24c | 624.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Wizards | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Wizards | 24c | 559$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…449bbacked Wizards | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…37bfbacked Wizards | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Wizards | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Wizards | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 4.9%6 W · 117 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…5fb1backed Magic | 76c | 470$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7d…e4b0backed Wizards | 25c | 458$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 24c | 457$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Wizards | 23c | 450$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Wizards | 24c | 448$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 591 | 31.1%184 W · 407 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Wizards | 23c | 429.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…fb32backed Wizards | 5c | 399.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Magic | 76c | 395.73$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7058…26b2backed Magic | 77c | 387.09$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Magic | 77c | 386.44$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Wizards | 24c | 351.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 30c | 338.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…659ebacked Wizards | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Wizards | 27c | 303$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Wizards | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Magic | 76c | 266$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c6…5a57backed Magic | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…7b86backed Magic | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Magic | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…2053backed Magic | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…9231backed Wizards | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Wizards | 24c | 229$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 524 | 32.6%171 W · 353 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…1786backed Magic | 76c | 223.68$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Magic | 76c | 223$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Magic | 77c | 219.48$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…dbcdbacked Wizards | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Wizards | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Wizards | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Wizards | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wizards | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…a3d9backed Magic | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Wizards | 23c | 198.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Wizards | 23c | 198.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Magic | 76c | 197.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Magic | 77c | 196.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4ca1backed Magic | 71c | 191.55$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c1…eb38backed Magic | 76c | 190.79$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…d4d7backed Wizards | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…a620backed Wizards | 24c | 181.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Magic | 77c | 175$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…1dccbacked Wizards | 20c | 168.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 270 | 34.8%94 W · 176 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Wizards | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Magic | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Magic | 69c | 144.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…cdc6backed Wizards | 14c | 137.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Magic | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Magic | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Magic | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.