Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea37de4551203d4bbe759ee5c29ec56d681fc90a2ced24377b8a4ff767ea9723
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 69c | 521.68$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.51 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed No | 30c | 504.39$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.59 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 53c | 438.01$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.95 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 43c | 384.9$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 37c | 302.7$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 17c | 302.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 35c | 285.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.46 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 59c | 205.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 47c | 203.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 55c | 196.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 43c | 191.27$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.51 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 21c | 165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 53c | 155.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 13c | 155.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 65c | 148.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 47c | 137.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 36c | 130$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 55c | 126.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 52c | 126.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 29c | 123.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 75c | 123.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 51c | 121.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 48c | 119.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…8cc8backed No | 45c | 112.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 66c | 109.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 27c | 107.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 42c | 107.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…2e64backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 98.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…ff0bbacked No | 33c | 98.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 34c | 96.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 34c | 94.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 14c | 94.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 48c | 87.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 43c | 81.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 28c | 78.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 27c | 74.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked No | 30c | 72.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 56c | 70.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 58c | 69.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 60c | 65.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…e62abacked Yes | 77c | 64.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 236 | 77.1%182 W · 54 L | +23.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 57c | 60.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 40c | 59.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 61c | 59.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 54c | 58.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 51c | 55.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x463d…abb2backed No | 50c | 54.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 43c | 53.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 65c | 52.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…3268backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed Yes | 40c | 45.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 40c | 44.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…165abacked No | 51c | 43.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 32c | 40.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 35c | 40.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…48efbacked Yes | 28c | 39.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…8c3fbacked Yes | 78c | 38.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 44c | 37.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed No | 47c | 35.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 67c | 35.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 29c | 34.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 33c | 33.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked No | 45c | 32.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…002dbacked No | 70c | 31.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 96 | 79.2%76 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 30.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…f816backed No | 47c | 30.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked No | 49c | 29.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6251…8f7bbacked No | 50c | 28.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 67c | 27.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 58c | 27.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…fd73backed No | 56c | 26.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 54c | 26.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 52c | 24.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 50c | 22.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…7482backed Yes | 73c | 21.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…8d4fbacked No | 65c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 95 | 73.7%70 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 56c | 18.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…4a23backed No | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c0…1191backed Yes | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 70c | 17.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 64c | 17.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…b552backed Yes | 80c | 16.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…8f33backed No | 67c | 16.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 121 | 74.4%90 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked No | 71c | 16.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…743abacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.