Tennis · resolved market
ITF Roda De Bara: Robin Bertrand vs Takuya Kumasaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaa8eaef1b1e8102b4c2b31cf346489b849d4c792f66e7f3a6395326c8bfbb07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robin Bertrandof Robin Bertrand, Takuya Kumasaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08a3…8666backed Robin Bertrand | 80c | 42,472$33,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,573.47 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 8,807$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.74 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 6,911$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.28 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Takuya Kumasaka | 19c | 5,024$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.42 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 3,732$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.38 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 3,300$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.07 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Takuya Kumasaka | 18c | 1,808$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.96 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 1,669$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.8 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 1,377$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Takuya Kumasaka | 19c | 868.55$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.35 | 304 | 43.4%132 W · 172 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 24c | 834$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Takuya Kumasaka | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Takuya Kumasaka | 22c | 740.67$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 623$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Takuya Kumasaka | 18c | 493$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Takuya Kumasaka | 22c | 418.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 411.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 353.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 328$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Takuya Kumasaka | 22c | 305.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 19c | 256$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 247$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 230.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Takuya Kumasaka | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 195$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Takuya Kumasaka | 24c | 189.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 9c | 183$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Takuya Kumasaka | 11c | 159.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Takuya Kumasaka | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Takuya Kumasaka | 12c | 147.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 24c | 146.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 941 | 49.5%466 W · 475 L | +17.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 930 | 55.9%520 W · 410 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,001 | 38.4%384 W · 617 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 10c | 123$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Takuya Kumasaka | 12c | 118$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 110.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Takuya Kumasaka | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Takuya Kumasaka | 24c | 87.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 913 | 54.9%501 W · 412 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 85.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Takuya Kumasaka | 24c | 75.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 69.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 69.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Takuya Kumasaka | 19c | 69.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Robin Bertrand | 74c | 55.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Robin Bertrand | 79c | 38.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 892 | 63.8%569 W · 323 L | +62.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Robin Bertrand | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.