Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeada8341cbcf44687e14ba218553deee5baa1d0c6ca5b2e235e9266d98af0e75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb71…3e7bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,024$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…87a6backed Yes | 16c | 656.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 51c | 626.3$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.12 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 46c | 478.51$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.02 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 46c | 468.35$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.9 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 51c | 463.34$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 48c | 438.14$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 39c | 432.58$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.24 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 64c | 394$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 30c | 299.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…98e5backed Yes | 70c | 295.29$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 70c | 284.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 33c | 278.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 26c | 253$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 55c | 223.4$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 54c | 208.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 206.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 53c | 203.61$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed No | 53c | 187.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 51c | 163.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 162$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 32c | 160.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 54c | 158.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 41c | 154.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 78c | 151.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 62c | 143.44$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 128$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 54c | 126.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a083backed Yes | 40c | 123.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 55c | 114.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 40c | 112.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…18a2backed No | 46c | 109.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 435 | 15.2%66 W · 369 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 54c | 106$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed No | 49c | 102.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked No | 48c | 96.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 21c | 96.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…f3c2backed No | 55c | 93.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…e0b6backed Yes | 13c | 91.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 202 | 30.2%61 W · 141 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 42c | 89.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 63c | 82.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed No | 59c | 81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 240 | 53.3%128 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…91d6backed Yes | 35c | 80.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 74c | 78.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9980…a036backed Yes | 31c | 78.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed Yes | 45c | 76.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 18c | 74.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 59c | 72.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked Yes | 57c | 69.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 18c | 67.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…8469backed Yes | 31c | 64.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 39c | 64.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 33c | 63.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…5250backed No | 48c | 62.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 70c | 61.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…b1aebacked Yes | 40c | 61.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 57c | 60.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 79c | 58.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 73c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 64c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…ce99backed Yes | 70c | 52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 104 | 27.9%29 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 65c | 51.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7913…8ef6backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 232 | 41.8%97 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…978ebacked Yes | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 30c | 49.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 63c | 49.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 29c | 48.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Yes | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…7428backed Yes | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 65c | 44.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 63c | 43.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…6f96backed No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 123 | 74%91 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05a…d78fbacked No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 126 | 70.6%89 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…0a0fbacked Yes | 40c | 39.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e53…254cbacked Yes | 51c | 39.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ead…f333backed Yes | 28c | 38.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 41c | 37.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…b2ffbacked No | 54c | 35.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 35.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 37c | 34.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 71c | 34.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 77c | 33.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…165abacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…2554backed Yes | 33c | 32.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 61c | 31.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14da…0af1backed No | 77c | 30.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 36c | 29.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 45c | 29.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b1…ef0dbacked Yes | 38c | 29.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.