Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27e8e50835df00a560cf6d8fb06e6ab452fcf954e64c5bb5b6e83bb3669e3f0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 74c | 1,345$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.83 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 49c | 700$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.8 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 48c | 655.04$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.84 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…98e5backed Yes | 72c | 576.82$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 8c | 576.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.94 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked No | 5c | 512.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 16c | 483.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 64c | 431.61$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.15 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 19c | 374.77$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.58 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 51c | 354$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.66 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d33…6be3backed Yes | 30c | 332.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.92 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 17c | 277.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 39c | 266.86$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.86 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 19c | 236.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.95 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c8…95e2backed Yes | 70c | 224.76$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 34c | 200.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc64…37f0backed Yes | 28c | 186.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 58c | 182.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 41c | 176.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…fa1dbacked Yes | 20c | 161.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.47 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 51c | 159.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 30c | 155.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…903dbacked Yes | 72c | 154.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 28c | 153.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 42c | 150.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…e43ebacked No | 56c | 139.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 180 | 60%108 W · 72 L | -21.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 53c | 135$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 46c | 134$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…87a6backed Yes | 14c | 133.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 130$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…91d6backed Yes | 18c | 124.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 14c | 118.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…b7e0backed Yes | 11c | 110.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 47c | 107.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 65c | 93.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 30c | 87.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…0a0fbacked Yes | 23c | 85.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 52c | 83.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 15c | 76.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 18c | 75.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…5250backed No | 62c | 73.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…9424backed Yes | 42c | 71.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…978ebacked Yes | 34c | 69.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 23c | 69.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 19c | 66.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 76c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1acf…d02ebacked No | 68c | 62.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 77c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…2bddbacked No | 27c | 56.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 191 | 23.6%45 W · 146 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 24c | 56.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 37c | 54.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2fadbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 120 | 68.3%82 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 30c | 49.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Yes | 38c | 49.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked Yes | 69c | 48.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 76c | 48.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 61c | 48.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 32c | 48.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 23c | 48.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 67c | 45.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9980…a036backed Yes | 50c | 44.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed No | 71c | 34.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 70c | 31.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked No | 75c | 30.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 41c | 29.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…e6e1backed Yes | 62c | 27.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…34aebacked Yes | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…c9a9backed Yes | 54c | 22.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 66c | 21.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 78c | 21.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 76c | 21.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f2…c3debacked No | 50c | 20.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -18.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 72c | 18.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d07…36bfbacked Yes | 73c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.