Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3014ceec0160546a801fc86db3813c98e5e1244e750193ce873e5f35c11d67df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb71…3e7bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,023$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a083backed Yes | 3c | 1,772$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,122$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.73 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 32c | 472$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…4e22backed Yes | 38c | 390.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 25c | 353.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 327.21$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked No | 77c | 324.36$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 77c | 307.29$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 76c | 289.98$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1acf…d02ebacked Yes | 15c | 287.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 36c | 278.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 36c | 257.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 217$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 72c | 216.81$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 65c | 201.71$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 30c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…8e36backed Yes | 20c | 198.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 23cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 34c | 194.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…91d6backed Yes | 32c | 190.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 37c | 176.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 30c | 154.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 141$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 66c | 139.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 139$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 136.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 31c | 124.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 115.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9a05backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 206 | 31.1%64 W · 142 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 69c | 99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed No | 62c | 86.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 75c | 86.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 79c | 84.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 66c | 81.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…19e0backed No | 67c | 81.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…98e5backed Yes | 43c | 80.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 67c | 79.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 65c | 76.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…6efcbacked Yes | 22c | 72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 219 | 30.1%66 W · 153 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…af17backed Yes | 24c | 68.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 65c | 67.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 62c | 66.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed No | 71c | 63.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 62c | 62.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 33c | 62.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…b1aebacked Yes | 41c | 60.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 40c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 79c | 58.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…0a0fbacked Yes | 40c | 55.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 72c | 54.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…ce99backed Yes | 27c | 53.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 104 | 27.9%29 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 70c | 51.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…978ebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20df…02eebacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1f…af40backed Yes | 20c | 48.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…e0b6backed Yes | 33c | 47.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 202 | 30.2%61 W · 141 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 78c | 46.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed Yes | 31c | 46.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 30c | 46.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 69c | 43.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 35c | 42.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 64c | 41.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 34c | 40.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 65c | 38.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…f816backed No | 64c | 37.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 32c | 34.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 68c | 33.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 39c | 31.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 66c | 29.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 62c | 27.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 64c | 24.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7969…9fecbacked No | 79c | 24.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 72c | 23.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…3f43backed No | 75c | 23.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked No | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…a71bbacked No | 66c | 21.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…5865backed No | 78c | 20.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 69 | 81.2%56 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…f3c2backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4320…4a44backed No | 61c | 19.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 66c | 17.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 65c | 15.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 78c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…7e7bbacked No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 117 | 74.4%87 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…40cdbacked No | 69c | 15.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 69c | 14.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.