TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Sabres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Sabres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,564 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Rangers52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Rangers51c23,215$11,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,273.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Sabres48c18,916$9,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,079.6844848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Sabres49c11,437$5,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,604.1813251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Sabres48c9,965$4,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,783.066737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres48c9,892$4,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,722.611,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa4…e9d2backed Rangers51c9,805$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,804.441844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers50c7,700$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Sabres49c6,463$3,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,166.8657453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Sabres49c6,313$3,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,093.315646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Sabres49c4,073$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Rangers50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba02…e42bbacked Sabres49c2,600$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+57.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Rangers51c2,077$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.732642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers51c1,869$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9169242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed Sabres49c1,859$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9111450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe341…2e5ebacked Rangers51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7352100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+149.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ec…240abacked Sabres49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6460…daffbacked Rangers51c1,300$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6373100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb0b…3fabbacked Rangers51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Sabres48c1,159$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.441,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x285b…5231backed Rangers51c1,133$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Rangers52c1,067$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.092941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Sabres49c1,061$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Rangers53c1,038$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.744242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Sabres49c1,023$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.1236242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rangers51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Sabres48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48063249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea6b…d89cbacked Rangers51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Rangers51c1,000$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49551044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Rangers53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.45054%27 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Sabres49c828$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.7215448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers50c824.95$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.484450%22 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Sabres2c807.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.911895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24b…0672backed Sabres50c801.94$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2276…9717backed Sabres49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd25…f900backed Rangers52c784.62$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42d7…e4c4backed Rangers51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3432100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers67c676.75$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.331,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Rangers53c633.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.0748050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Rangers51c627.45$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4511245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rangers50c621.38$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6940550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Sabres48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2882835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Sabres48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2885040%20 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0396…b3babacked Sabres48c579.99$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce5c…95d9backed Sabres48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Sabres48c499.97$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9930447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres47c499.91$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.961,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Sabres4c466$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0610438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ca…f2e2backed Rangers52c460.38$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Sabres49c421.98$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.7789249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Sabres50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012844.5%57 W · 71 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a43…cba0backed Sabres49c399.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rangers51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1623653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a25…3598backed Rangers69c361.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.471540%6 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Rangers50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1756648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Sabres49c349.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.52650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Rangers50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15075946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Sabres49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14736652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Sabres48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1444634.8%16 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf8cd…d2e7backed Sabres49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers51c299.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14774951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sabres38c290$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Sabres49c255$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9538844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbbb…4433backed Sabres49c244.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Rangers51c239.05$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3437847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Rangers53c234.58$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5814148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres30c213.64$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.091,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers68c212.48$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.151,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Rangers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9619836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe97d…5e65backed Sabres49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a44…3fd2backed Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf94…59a6backed Rangers51c190.26$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rangers51c188$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.121,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Sabres49c163.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.341,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Rangers51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.570249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Sabres50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Rangers52c135.75$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.166645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Sabres26c119.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.360042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x055b…9db2backed Rangers52c119.61$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres34c112.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9695049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d49…a8c6backed Sabres50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1706…fc50backed Rangers51c109.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.892157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc04d…ed59backed Sabres50c109.96$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.981020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-65.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xce54…90bcbacked Rangers51c109.94$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.871361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3c…16eebacked Sabres50c100.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.331747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x669c…6c54backed Rangers51c100.65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.324967.3%33 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+30.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Sabres50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Sabres48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4817644.9%79 W · 97 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c3f…0e6bbacked Sabres49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f55…535dbacked Rangers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Sabres50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030951.1%158 W · 151 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e92…cd3dbacked Rangers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4821245.8%97 W · 115 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6f…36f2backed Sabres49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Rangers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811354%61 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9970…2484backed Sabres50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers76c99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.763,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28e0…d720backed Rangers51c98.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.