TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Georgetown Hoyas vs. Xavier Musketeers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Xavier Musketeersof Georgetown Hoyas, Xavier Musketeers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,389

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd696…8a49backed Xavier Musketeers67c2,315$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.0184147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Xavier Musketeers72c2,168$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.963,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Georgetown Hoyas33c1,999$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.8322645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Georgetown Hoyas34c1,827$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.262,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Xavier Musketeers66c1,488$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.9974649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Georgetown Hoyas41c1,460$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.965,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Georgetown Hoyas14c1,392$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.041363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Georgetown Hoyas34c1,124$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.1918349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Xavier Musketeers67c933.03$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.21,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Georgetown Hoyas8c910.27$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.444,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Xavier Musketeers66c813.33$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.821,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Georgetown Hoyas33c801$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.332,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Georgetown Hoyas45c757.03$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.4970936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Xavier Musketeers73c729.12$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.792,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Georgetown Hoyas11c699.91$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.421,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ec…2892backed Georgetown Hoyas31c647.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.61714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Xavier Musketeers78c633.61$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.627450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Xavier Musketeers56c632.14$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.975,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Georgetown Hoyas33c620.57$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5855532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Georgetown Hoyas38c613.89$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5634943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Xavier Musketeers66c585.35$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1489850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Xavier Musketeers54c541.73$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.164,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Georgetown Hoyas34c502.02$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.951,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Xavier Musketeers52c451.27$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.711,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Xavier Musketeers66c450.97$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3334746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Xavier Musketeers75c399.71$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.743450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Georgetown Hoyas8c373.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.92626.5%4 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Georgetown Hoyas36c297.58$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.132,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcede…6736backed Georgetown Hoyas35c288.07$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.922321.7%5 W · 18 L-7.5wins-0.33per pick54cpaid-66.3%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Georgetown Hoyas11c266.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa59b…d11ebacked Georgetown Hoyas39c226.51$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.263138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Georgetown Hoyas45c206.21$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.922,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Xavier Musketeers69c200.53$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.961,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Xavier Musketeers66c199.74$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4444549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Georgetown Hoyas43c160$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.673,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Georgetown Hoyas31c157.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Georgetown Hoyas37c146.46$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5636535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f91…1e15backed Xavier Musketeers69c144.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.372560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Xavier Musketeers66c132.95$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.212846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Georgetown Hoyas33c123.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4377142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Xavier Musketeers77c121.66$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.981450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Georgetown Hoyas35c121.45$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5116721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Xavier Musketeers52c117.05$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2581528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Xavier Musketeers60c110.4$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Xavier Musketeers68c100.29$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.093,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Georgetown Hoyas34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3449157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Georgetown Hoyas33c99.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.741,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Georgetown Hoyas42c94.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6632246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f5…4e04backed Xavier Musketeers74c83.86$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.064673.9%34 W · 12 L+7.6wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Georgetown Hoyas36c82.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Georgetown Hoyas35c82.66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Georgetown Hoyas33c79.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2331537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Georgetown Hoyas36c76.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.571,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Xavier Musketeers66c75.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5649849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Georgetown Hoyas29c67.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.771,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Georgetown Hoyas29c61.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.851,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Georgetown Hoyas45c59.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.773638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Xavier Musketeers66c51.49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4743053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Xavier Musketeers66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8333445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Xavier Musketeers65c49.8$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4392246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Xavier Musketeers47c49.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.272055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Georgetown Hoyas33c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8661244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fc…314dbacked Xavier Musketeers69c41.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.65947.5%28 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3392…de47backed Georgetown Hoyas30c41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c42…41d9backed Georgetown Hoyas34c40.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.891127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-56.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Georgetown Hoyas35c39.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.816755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Xavier Musketeers64c37.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4317945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Xavier Musketeers66c37.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.599947.5%47 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ec…8debbacked Xavier Musketeers65c27.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.725657.1%32 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Xavier Musketeers64c22.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2120834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9190…896dbacked Xavier Musketeers51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Xavier Musketeers66c19.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7548551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Xavier Musketeers69c14.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5571655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.