TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Yibing Wu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jan Choinskiof Jan Choinski, Yibing Wu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,002 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc8c…273fbacked Jan Choinski16c25,941$4,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,724.8915151.7%78 W · 73 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Jan Choinski52c5,816$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,816.242131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Yibing Wu10c5,082$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Yibing Wu61c3,794$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,311.054,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yibing Wu45c1,499$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.7719740.6%80 W · 117 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yibing Wu53c1,387$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.389,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Yibing Wu7c1,300$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.438033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Yibing Wu52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Jan Choinski50c895.68$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.7233540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Yibing Wu72c890.38$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6381,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Jan Choinski47c796.65$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.293,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Jan Choinski26c769.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.2331436.9%116 W · 198 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Jan Choinski28c725.23$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.185,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Jan Choinski46c631.22$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.8679855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Jan Choinski23c609.13$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.1343334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Yibing Wu11c588.38$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5380341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Yibing Wu71c526.63$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.911,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Yibing Wu55c520.21$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.761,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yibing Wu49c508.25$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2892237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Jan Choinski49c500$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.324,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Jan Choinski29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.0565840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4a…ee6dbacked Jan Choinski30c499.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.994528.9%13 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Jan Choinski75c498.28$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.816,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Jan Choinski28c462.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.0852557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4225…f18abacked Yibing Wu25c461.23$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.152339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Jan Choinski28c461.06$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.621,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Jan Choinski48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Jan Choinski37c364.22$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.6535450.8%180 W · 174 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Jan Choinski44c362.59$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.141,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Yibing Wu71c352.1$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.992161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6534…240cbacked Jan Choinski29c349.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.662737%10 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8356…16b7backed Yibing Wu8c337.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266717.9%12 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jan Choinski57c312.86$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.862,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Jan Choinski55c304.1$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.852,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Yibing Wu57c297.83$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.312,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Yibing Wu70c287.76$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.431,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yibing Wu14c236.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.134,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Jan Choinski37c223.07$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.142,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Jan Choinski38c209.88$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.883,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Yibing Wu73c205.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15084968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Jan Choinski48c202.54$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.321,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Jan Choinski31c200$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13951252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Jan Choinski49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10217646%81 W · 95 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Jan Choinski31c193.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.751,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Yibing Wu77c192.32$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0435360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Jan Choinski79c181$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.215,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Jan Choinski54c172$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1284640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yibing Wu71c162.68$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.243,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Yibing Wu70c160$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11221856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Jan Choinski66c159.85$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.371,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Jan Choinski18c157.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.931,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Jan Choinski45c152.03$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.371,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yibing Wu71c150.62$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9485250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Yibing Wu70c147.98$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8443952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yibing Wu71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Jan Choinski61c130.79$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.292,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yibing Wu72c120.73$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.931,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yibing Wu61c112.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.853,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Jan Choinski29c111$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8155032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Yibing Wu71c107.66$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.447,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b1…0d02backed Yibing Wu11c105.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Yibing Wu17c102.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1743618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yibing Wu22c95.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.317930.7%55 W · 124 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Jan Choinski28c93$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9645744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Jan Choinski51c88.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.638952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Jan Choinski28c88.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4930746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Jan Choinski67c84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.64,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yibing Wu72c82.58$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.173,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Yibing Wu70c77.8$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2348.8%3 W · 31 L-15.6wins-0.46per pick55cpaid-85.6%equal weight21-0.26 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Jan Choinski47c76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2873748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f9d…c744backed Jan Choinski27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0711247.3%53 W · 59 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Yibing Wu41c68.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1351445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jan Choinski63c66.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.616,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Yibing Wu52c66.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4739035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Jan Choinski31c65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.852,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Jan Choinski78c64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.081,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Jan Choinski31c62.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1946957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Jan Choinski48c61.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yibing Wu59c60.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.741,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Jan Choinski63c60.45$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.481,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Jan Choinski47c60.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.841,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Jan Choinski51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4263144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Jan Choinski28c50.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.851,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yibing Wu72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3667848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Jan Choinski32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3440527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Yibing Wu70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d8…400bbacked Yibing Wu50c49.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7534627.7%96 W · 250 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1512…17aebacked Yibing Wu51c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.811942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda45…a2c6backed Yibing Wu51c41.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.224850%24 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Jan Choinski49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8219410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…2147backed Yibing Wu44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.72360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+65.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Jan Choinski43c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9546155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe516…1d31backed Jan Choinski55c34.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5617962.6%112 W · 67 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Yibing Wu75c33.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519761.4%121 W · 76 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Yibing Wu71c33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4323272.8%169 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Yibing Wu54c30.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.423,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5edb…00a9backed Jan Choinski38c30.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6823842.9%102 W · 136 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9081…8a6ebacked Yibing Wu73c27.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0341768.1%284 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Jan Choinski50c26.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.541,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Jan Choinski53c24.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.