TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Jazz, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb230…4193backed Jazz18c21,198$3,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,750.719351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets71c11,012$7,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,214.161,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34f7…28bfbacked Jazz34c7,803$2,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,647.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Jazz18c6,376$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.951,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Jazz19c6,144$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.398843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz20c4,149$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.71,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2d…853dbacked Jazz20c3,344$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Jazz24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7204544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Jazz17c2,710$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.6392753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Jazz17c2,152$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.3240035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Jazz14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2807236.1%26 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Jazz22c1,900$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41880146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e6…f893backed Jazz22c1,867$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.281637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Jazz5c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756924.6%17 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Jazz16c1,464$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.827939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Rockets80c1,378$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.533663.9%23 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jazz17c1,253$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.782,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Jazz18c1,218$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.366934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Jazz4c1,063$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4067911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Jazz20c1,009$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015244.1%67 W · 85 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Jazz20c1,000$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Jazz20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005156.9%29 W · 22 L+8.0wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+48%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Jazz20c893.15$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2526749.8%133 W · 134 L+17.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Jazz2c730$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1219419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rockets80c700$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14084150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Jazz22c700$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425236.9%93 W · 159 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz19c689.47$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Jazz19c666$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5417335.8%62 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Rockets78c543.39$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.563250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f7b…2309backed Rockets80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77be…e0f9backed Rockets80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Jazz16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Jazz20c496.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz15c490.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5765218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781e…2484backed Jazz16c479.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.61330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick13cpaid+210.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed Rockets78c461.9$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.352263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Jazz16c399.82$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9724835.1%87 W · 161 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Jazz25c382.49$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6234942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d4…5862backed Jazz20c371.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Jazz15c358.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.84316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7137…6507backed Jazz30c334.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7817331.2%54 W · 119 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde49…1e83backed Rockets80c330$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93f…8a46backed Jazz16c321.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.961822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09c4…40cdbacked Jazz10c310$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.54621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30d1…fc97backed Jazz20c305.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcae1…5fb0backed Jazz19c299.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9912043.3%52 W · 68 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c6a…168ebacked Jazz17c286.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f38…d853backed Jazz17c262$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Rockets75c257.33$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3315656.4%88 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa5…3f52backed Jazz17c241.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.913625%9 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7071…7f78backed Jazz21c241.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8714…4750backed Jazz20c200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d27…c460backed Jazz19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Rockets74c199.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5244337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2361…e16ebacked Jazz18c190$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.21866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Jazz18c189$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf063…a4f2backed Jazz6c179.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.460%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Jazz18c162.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.346851.5%35 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Jazz18c154.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7743321.2%92 W · 341 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3134…768dbacked Jazz20c151.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.234930.6%15 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Jazz18c132.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9330249.3%149 W · 153 L+33.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Jazz19c125$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.755942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazz17c123.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.361,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Jazz17c120$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.480744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Jazz17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048948.5%237 W · 252 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Jazz18c110$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.866732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0057…0932backed Jazz18c109.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Jazz18c108.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202711.1%3 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-64.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3e9…3e8fbacked Jazz19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ed0…b051backed Jazz17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed Rockets75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Jazz20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028844.8%129 W · 159 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Jazz19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1928838.2%110 W · 178 L-18.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Jazz17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1760834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Jazz17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb87…5a19backed Jazz17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152931%9 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Jazz16c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.87935.4%28 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Jazz21c75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.759336.6%34 W · 59 L-11.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba52…0760backed Jazz17c70$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Rockets77c68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4243052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Jazz18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.838239.5%151 W · 231 L+35.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed Jazz17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25117.6%9 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jazz20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Jazz31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Rockets61c40.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.938652.3%45 W · 41 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x858a…c4bebacked Rockets75c38.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.664245.2%19 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockets77c38.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.859743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Rockets80c35.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2523150.2%116 W · 115 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb72c…653ebacked Rockets76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.891080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Rockets76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3227455.5%152 W · 122 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Rockets79c20.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2138853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb579…f458backed Rockets80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.