MLB · resolved market
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed2764cb244479401533fe31fce62eb9c58adde1318aef10696df394b40b962d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof St. Louis Cardinals, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.93 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 5,458$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.57 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 3,877$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.93 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 2,649$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.22 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,575$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.37 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,804$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.04 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies | 62c | 1,583$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.18 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,160$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 1,071$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 1,011$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.79 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 874.83$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 744$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.18 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x543b…e23dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 410.37$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 399$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 359.24$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.29 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 290.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 288.43$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 225$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 220.48$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 172.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 142.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 132.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 118.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Colorado Rockies | 63c | 97.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 93.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 79.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 75.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Colorado Rockies | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 67.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 59.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 59.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…40ecbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 47.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…631cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 43.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 42.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 40.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 40.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 38.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 36.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 35.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 34.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f8…5de2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 32.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 222 | 57.7%128 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 30.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 27.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 26.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe37…33bebacked Colorado Rockies | 62c | 25.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 24.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 20.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 19.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.