Tennis · resolved market
Tyler: Landon Ardila vs Timo Legout
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed5f616efb5aaba921383efdc80e396e9e29c5ae3287880d8944559310e31ab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timo Legoutof Landon Ardila, Timo Legout
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Landon Ardila | 17c | 12,640$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.57 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Timo Legout | 65c | 4,495$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.41 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Landon Ardila | 6c | 3,745$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.75 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Landon Ardila | 31c | 3,317$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Landon Ardila | 38c | 2,387$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.73 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Landon Ardila | 35c | 2,077$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.85 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Landon Ardila | 5c | 1,976$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Timo Legout | 64c | 1,513$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.58 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Landon Ardila | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Timo Legout | 74c | 977.86$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.94 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Timo Legout | 63c | 942$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.54 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Landon Ardila | 29c | 816.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.37 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Timo Legout | 62c | 799.98$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.99 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Landon Ardila | 35c | 687.19$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.87 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Landon Ardila | 8c | 582.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Landon Ardila | 36c | 552.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Timo Legout | 70c | 544.99$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.63 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Timo Legout | 64c | 461.54$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Landon Ardila | 26c | 354.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Timo Legout | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Landon Ardila | 38c | 265.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Timo Legout | 63c | 252.72$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Landon Ardila | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Timo Legout | 62c | 240.23$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Landon Ardila | 15c | 238.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Timo Legout | 65c | 204.62$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Timo Legout | 66c | 199.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Landon Ardila | 32c | 195.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Timo Legout | 68c | 175.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Timo Legout | 67c | 162.11$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Landon Ardila | 37c | 157$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5928backed Timo Legout | 66c | 150.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Timo Legout | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Landon Ardila | 35c | 148.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Landon Ardila | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Timo Legout | 65c | 125.66$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Landon Ardila | 32c | 118$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Landon Ardila | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Timo Legout | 62c | 108$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Timo Legout | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Timo Legout | 70c | 100.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Timo Legout | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…8956backed Timo Legout | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Timo Legout | 69c | 71.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Landon Ardila | 33c | 67.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Landon Ardila | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Landon Ardila | 39c | 63.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Timo Legout | 63c | 62.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Landon Ardila | 21c | 62.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Timo Legout | 68c | 62.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Landon Ardila | 24c | 61.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Landon Ardila | 32c | 61.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Landon Ardila | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Timo Legout | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Timo Legout | 60c | 54.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Timo Legout | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…79c7backed Timo Legout | 66c | 49.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Timo Legout | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…d3c9backed Landon Ardila | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Landon Ardila | 37c | 40.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Landon Ardila | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Landon Ardila | 27c | 39.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Landon Ardila | 36c | 37.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Timo Legout | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Timo Legout | 66c | 33.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf35backed Timo Legout | 68c | 33.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Landon Ardila | 35c | 32.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Timo Legout | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…d117backed Timo Legout | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Landon Ardila | 36c | 30.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Timo Legout | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Timo Legout | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Timo Legout | 64c | 24.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Timo Legout | 64c | 22.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Timo Legout | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…70e3backed Timo Legout | 72c | 19.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Timo Legout | 66c | 19.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Timo Legout | 70c | 17.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.