Earnings · resolved market
Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee07a45a0f1b80834466a6d7a94c5d6b8411c1de3ee0b1d46e79a49842619d5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd489…ff2cbacked No | 1c | 11,478$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +418.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 31c | 854.79$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.14 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 80c | 641.01$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.59 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 27c | 602.06$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.17 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 65c | 589.7$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 23c | 420$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 20c | 392.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed Yes | 74c | 381.12$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 314.81$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 33c | 300.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 5c | 299.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 17c | 266.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…177fbacked No | 23c | 234.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 12c | 160.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5f1cbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 73c | 123$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…376dbacked Yes | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…0ad4backed No | 22c | 90.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 21c | 77.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 72c | 73.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 31c | 71.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…aa24backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31f5…89d1backed Yes | 66c | 21.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6930…c231backed Yes | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked Yes | 77c | 19.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.