Tennis · resolved market
Brazzaville: Michael Geerts vs Iiro Vasa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee298f7ca98fffb533dc07137d289413a1b5d7291537622b13a6c053c065edd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iiro Vasaof Michael Geerts, Iiro Vasa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Michael Geerts | 35c | 13,000$4,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.99 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Iiro Vasa | 51c | 3,271$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Iiro Vasa | 35c | 2,330$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.04 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michael Geerts | 56c | 2,122$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Iiro Vasa | 53c | 1,974$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.67 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…d802backed Michael Geerts | 59c | 1,922$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.58 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Iiro Vasa | 32c | 1,746$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.67 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Iiro Vasa | 63c | 1,593$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.41 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Iiro Vasa | 63c | 1,593$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.41 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Iiro Vasa | 49c | 1,434$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.04 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Iiro Vasa | 50c | 1,344$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.95 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Iiro Vasa | 19c | 1,140$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.42 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Michael Geerts | 37c | 865.25$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.2 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Michael Geerts | 1c | 850$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Iiro Vasa | 44c | 778.6$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.5 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Michael Geerts | 37c | 750.89$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.83 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…bccebacked Michael Geerts | 70c | 714.28$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Iiro Vasa | 60c | 592.7$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.3 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Michael Geerts | 39c | 582.67$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.65 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Iiro Vasa | 44c | 510$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iiro Vasa | 41c | 457.64$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Iiro Vasa | 21c | 416.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.27 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Iiro Vasa | 60c | 409.23$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.69 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Michael Geerts | 35c | 364.44$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.74 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Iiro Vasa | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Michael Geerts | 59c | 341.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Iiro Vasa | 43c | 327.3$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.56 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Michael Geerts | 68c | 235.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Iiro Vasa | 49c | 205.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…1d98backed Michael Geerts | 50c | 184.44$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Iiro Vasa | 58c | 180.95$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Iiro Vasa | 27c | 177.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Michael Geerts | 42c | 169.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…1f49backed Michael Geerts | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 146 | 74%108 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Iiro Vasa | 54c | 159.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Iiro Vasa | 26c | 156$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Michael Geerts | 51c | 145.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 257 | 63.4%163 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Michael Geerts | 57c | 137.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Michael Geerts | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Iiro Vasa | 20c | 119.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Iiro Vasa | 20c | 118.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…23f1backed Michael Geerts | 58c | 110.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Iiro Vasa | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Iiro Vasa | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Iiro Vasa | 22c | 105.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Iiro Vasa | 52c | 104.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Iiro Vasa | 80c | 93.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Iiro Vasa | 31c | 87.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Iiro Vasa | 19c | 86.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Iiro Vasa | 60c | 83.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…f413backed Michael Geerts | 79c | 75.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Iiro Vasa | 59c | 73.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Michael Geerts | 38c | 72.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Iiro Vasa | 14c | 71.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Iiro Vasa | 34c | 70.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Michael Geerts | 46c | 65.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Michael Geerts | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Iiro Vasa | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Iiro Vasa | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Michael Geerts | 59c | 55.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Michael Geerts | 77c | 54.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Michael Geerts | 63c | 46.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Michael Geerts | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 236 | 34.7%82 W · 154 L | -37.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Michael Geerts | 56c | 32.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Michael Geerts | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Michael Geerts | 65c | 20.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…6d47backed Michael Geerts | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Michael Geerts | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.