MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee62f2565142f5867ccb6f8b6be8831a56bea6f324a0d1a8177040a0d183ea9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked LG Twins | 68c | 4,118$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.54 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Doosan Bears | 15c | 2,724$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.37 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Doosan Bears | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Doosan Bears | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LG Twins | 27c | 883.34$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.1 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 796.38$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.77 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 621.61$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.66 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Doosan Bears | 79c | 592.83$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.05 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed LG Twins | 66c | 556.28$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.33 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…d541backed Doosan Bears | 24c | 515.28$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed LG Twins | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed LG Twins | 45c | 436.17$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.53 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Doosan Bears | 36c | 414.52$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.64 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 33c | 390.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LG Twins | 46c | 350.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.23 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked LG Twins | 56c | 345.86$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.16 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Doosan Bears | 26c | 306.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Doosan Bears | 31c | 279.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked LG Twins | 64c | 262.24$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Doosan Bears | 72c | 260.71$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.28 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 32c | 258.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed LG Twins | 67c | 209.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Doosan Bears | 31c | 205.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 200.16$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed LG Twins | 38c | 182.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 173.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…b36abacked LG Twins | 65c | 151.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Doosan Bears | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 34c | 122.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Doosan Bears | 34c | 118$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…49ebbacked LG Twins | 12c | 107.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +762.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed LG Twins | 45c | 105.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed LG Twins | 78c | 103.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed LG Twins | 28c | 103.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked LG Twins | 67c | 101.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed LG Twins | 47c | 100.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Doosan Bears | 35c | 96.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 36c | 88.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed LG Twins | 23c | 86.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 84.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 76.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 68.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 31c | 67.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Doosan Bears | 32c | 64.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Doosan Bears | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked LG Twins | 33c | 60.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Doosan Bears | 33c | 59.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…619bbacked Doosan Bears | 24c | 56.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed LG Twins | 36c | 56.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Doosan Bears | 25c | 54.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed LG Twins | 69c | 52.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Doosan Bears | 70c | 50.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Doosan Bears | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Doosan Bears | 33c | 45.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked LG Twins | 23c | 43.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed LG Twins | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed LG Twins | 67c | 19.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed LG Twins | 67c | 18.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.