MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeed602ccd636f905d762ebbfe41d106fe75f1473cbe009126dcd93cc44e3b575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Blue Jays, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 66c | 4,820$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Blue Jays | 27c | 2,916$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.46 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Blue Jays | 40c | 2,510$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Twins | 62c | 2,160$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.65 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 62c | 2,150$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.85 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 52c | 1,852$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.75 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Blue Jays | 14c | 1,557$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.65 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Blue Jays | 64c | 1,555$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Twins | 77c | 1,537$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.17 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…fb1fbacked Blue Jays | 33c | 1,519$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays | 30c | 1,500$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.17 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 1,450$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Twins | 59c | 1,357$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.03 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Twins | 62c | 1,325$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.21 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Blue Jays | 39c | 1,276$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Blue Jays | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Blue Jays | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Twins | 61c | 1,000$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.33 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 39c | 999.95$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Twins | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Blue Jays | 17c | 835.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jays | 11c | 800$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Blue Jays | 9c | 775.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Twins | 62c | 770$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Blue Jays | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 31c | 649.62$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.88 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 7c | 606$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Blue Jays | 4c | 592.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…d22fbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 587.47$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Blue Jays | 39c | 510$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Twins | 72c | 502.09$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blue Jays | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Twins | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Twins | 61c | 330$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Twins | 44c | 303.93$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.22 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 60c | 274.72$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 7c | 260$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Twins | 61c | 248$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 20c | 241.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Blue Jays | 20c | 230.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…3450backed Blue Jays | 47c | 214.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 209.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Blue Jays | 32c | 188$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 58c | 181.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Blue Jays | 39c | 178.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Blue Jays | 13c | 176.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 63c | 158.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Blue Jays | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Twins | 65c | 145.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Blue Jays | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Twins | 63c | 127.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins | 67c | 119$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…5fefbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 115$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…8b29backed Twins | 61c | 115$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Blue Jays | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Blue Jays | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0e…551ebacked Twins | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed Blue Jays | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blue Jays | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f2…60adbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…69f7backed Twins | 61c | 99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Twins | 62c | 96.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Blue Jays | 32c | 92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Blue Jays | 45c | 91.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…e089backed Blue Jays | 32c | 91.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…e350backed Blue Jays | 39c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…79f1backed Twins | 61c | 86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…9defbacked Twins | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…ef3fbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…609fbacked Blue Jays | 16c | 81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…abaabacked Twins | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 37c | 77.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…214ebacked Blue Jays | 38c | 74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 67c | 72.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Twins | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Blue Jays | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 39c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…59e3backed Blue Jays | 35c | 62.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…7a72backed Blue Jays | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…06a8backed Twins | 62c | 61.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…20babacked Twins | 61c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…a261backed Blue Jays | 39c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Blue Jays | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays | 37c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Blue Jays | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 58.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Blue Jays | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044c…a476backed Blue Jays | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays | 38c | 50.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Blue Jays | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Blue Jays | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Blue Jays | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Twins | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc5…552fbacked Twins | 63c | 41.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.