TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Champions League · resolved market

PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,462 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over9c1,357$122 inLost-$122.1320936.8%77 W · 132 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over15c1,139$170 inLost-$169.768318.1%15 W · 68 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over2c986.81$21 inLost-$20.521,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Over7c887.97$62 inLost-$62.161612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over67c877.88$586 inLost-$586.178357.8%48 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over19c373.28$70 inLost-$69.9932931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over9c368.67$33 inLost-$33.492,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over64c199.97$128 inLost-$127.986346%29 W · 34 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over9c150$14 inLost-$13.519343%83 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under35c105.51$37 inWon+$68.6842850.2%215 W · 213 L+25.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under35c61.54$22 inWon+$4010160.4%61 W · 40 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x852f…9be0backed Over65c61.54$40 inLost-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over44c52.27$23 inLost-$233429.4%10 W · 24 L-7.1wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-50.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over64c46.88$30 inLost-$3013767.2%92 W · 45 L+0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over65c37.8$25 inLost-$24.573863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under37c37.56$14 inWon+$23.67856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under62c18.74$12 inWon+$7.16157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.