Champions League · resolved market
PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaebe7e71c9295564daa26ed90c3902f2321a79b197f0148826638938e89abfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 16,571$8,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,631.37 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 13,718$9,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,217.48 | 973 | 32.2%313 W · 660 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 36c | 8,914$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.94 | 542 | 39.5%214 W · 328 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 5,056$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.63 | 1,062 | 36.3%386 W · 676 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.98 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 32c | 1,978$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.26 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 40c | 1,968$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.56 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 33c | 1,297$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.12 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 1,060$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 1,596 | 39.8%636 W · 960 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 33c | 1,028$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.56 | 497 | 51.9%258 W · 239 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Over | 24c | 935.83$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 72c | 764.19$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 33c | 757$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.19 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 30c | 673.33$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 67c | 630.69$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 577.53$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.87 | 329 | 31.9%105 W · 224 L | -26.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 33c | 512$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.04 | 321 | 50.5%162 W · 159 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 47c | 380.85$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.53 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 37c | 372.22$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.24 | 517 | 46.2%239 W · 278 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…63a5backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 49c | 293$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 57c | 255.57$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 242.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 448 | 37.7%169 W · 279 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 56c | 205.44$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 57c | 199.69$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 330 | 57.6%190 W · 140 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 51c | 197.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 38c | 128$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 266 | 53.8%143 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 67c | 119.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 424 | 44.1%187 W · 237 L | -22.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 44c | 113.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Over | 67c | 109.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 59c | 104.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 161 | 67.1%108 W · 53 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 206 | 56.8%117 W · 89 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 34c | 88.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 34c | 86.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 725 | 48.6%352 W · 373 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 26c | 79.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 77c | 76.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 799 | 35.3%282 W · 517 L | -36.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 48c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 34c | 74.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Under | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 52c | 72.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 57c | 65.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 39c | 64.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 49c | 57.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…ed5abacked Over | 26c | 54.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 41c | 52.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -8.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Over | 57c | 44.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 67.2%92 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 32c | 43.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 37c | 41.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -12.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 40.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,141 | 35.4%404 W · 737 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…a398backed Over | 26c | 39.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Over | 67c | 37.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 57c | 33.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…ec56backed Over | 67c | 29.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 68c | 24.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 535 | 46.7%250 W · 285 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Over | 69c | 19.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 71c | 18.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 1.5this page
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: AEK O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: AEK O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 3.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 4.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 5.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: Team to AdvanceAEK won
- Spread: AEK (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
- Spread: AEK (-2.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)AEK won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)AEK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.