Champions League · resolved market
PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e97dcf30faae886335e499aeb24dbcd7cea6cafc5a494ac995662a4ef36e56f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 8,867$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,742.5 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 4,590$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.14 | 799 | 35.3%282 W · 517 L | -36.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 58c | 3,691$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.4 | 542 | 39.5%214 W · 328 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 75c | 3,581$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 2,039$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.76 | 1,596 | 39.8%636 W · 960 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 34c | 1,945$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.52 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 19c | 1,848$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497 | 428 | 50.2%215 W · 213 L | +25.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 64c | 1,831$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.3 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 1,770$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.71 | 1,141 | 35.4%404 W · 737 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 1,432$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.31 | 1,062 | 36.3%386 W · 676 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 57c | 962$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.78 | 329 | 31.9%105 W · 224 L | -26.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 560.45$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.09 | 448 | 37.7%169 W · 279 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 49c | 498.08$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.06 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 47c | 429.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 10c | 362.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 140 | 20.7%29 W · 111 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…d91abacked Over | 72c | 280$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 28c | 269.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 256.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 69c | 239.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 50c | 217$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 266 | 53.8%143 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…340bbacked Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 206 | 56.8%117 W · 89 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 46c | 196.05$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 46c | 189.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 330 | 57.6%190 W · 140 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 55c | 188.74$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 46c | 182.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 45c | 179.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 220 | 16.4%36 W · 184 L | -40.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 61c | 169.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 47c | 149.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 11c | 119.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…9be0backed Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…7166backed Over | 67c | 102.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 46c | 91.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 161 | 67.1%108 W · 53 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 90$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 33c | 89.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 66c | 86.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 28c | 79.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 50c | 78.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 50c | 69.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 37c | 67.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 50c | 65.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 51c | 64.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 193 | 43%83 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 59.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…792dbacked Over | 32c | 59.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 59c | 53.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 39c | 50.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 67.2%92 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 47c | 42.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…cb27backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 33c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 51c | 36.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -12.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 68c | 35.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…a267backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 43c | 33.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 47c | 31.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 54c | 29.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Over | 67c | 24.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Over | 55c | 21.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbf…fb78backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 54c | 18.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 67c | 17.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 0.5this page
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: AEK O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: AEK O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 3.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 4.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 5.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: Team to AdvanceAEK won
- Spread: AEK (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
- Spread: AEK (-2.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)AEK won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)AEK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.