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Champions League · resolved market

PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,865 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes50c69,464$34,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,455.896547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes50c52,058$26,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,129.7818141.4%75 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c16,595$8,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,925.182,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No50c16,375$8,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,261.0928743.9%126 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c12,678$6,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,362.731,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No50c12,511$6,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,262.8539043.6%170 W · 220 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No52c9,930$5,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,740.311,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No51c8,741$4,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,283.0311659.5%69 W · 47 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No50c6,688$3,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,345.2449751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No51c6,327$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,104.5551746.2%239 W · 278 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked No50c5,922$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.89785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick45cpaid+82.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No50c4,140$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.4919447.9%93 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No50c2,917$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.0113039.2%51 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed No52c2,381$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.957352.1%38 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes51c2,250$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008927%24 W · 65 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No50c1,676$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.9235746.8%167 W · 190 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No50c1,604$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.832060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7504050%20 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No51c1,237$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6051,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No49c1,130$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.384856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No50c1,024$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51232150.5%162 W · 159 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005749.1%28 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c1,000$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50570446.3%326 W · 378 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50039042.3%165 W · 225 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4908357.8%48 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes49c870$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.32941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No76c815.39$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.238318.1%15 W · 68 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c772.83$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.4236744.4%163 W · 204 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No50c590$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.0463748.4%308 W · 329 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24519549.7%97 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25018434.8%64 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes26c499.96$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.996933.3%23 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No51c463.41$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.0714020.7%29 W · 111 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No50c408.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.457347.6%273 W · 300 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No50c393$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5141551.1%212 W · 203 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No51c335.29$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8117556.6%99 W · 76 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes50c316$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2afc…317abacked Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes42c256.19$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1532931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes51c248.91$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.735832.7%117 W · 241 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed No52c242.87$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick35cpaid+186.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No51c237.25$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.254242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No51c212.16$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.58470.2%59 W · 25 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No50c202.36$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.187856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085056%28 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed No51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed No51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79e0…7d6fbacked Yes9c176.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No56c164.25$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.185145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No51c152$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.483568.6%24 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes37c150$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7517144.4%76 W · 95 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked No51c147.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.621346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No51c143.66$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2416167.1%108 W · 53 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x48dd…98cebacked No53c141$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c138.21$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1197332.2%313 W · 660 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No50c132.72$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.365072%36 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604628.3%13 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-36.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf5dc…7f44backed Yes50c112$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Yes32c90.34$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9140%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No50c89.39$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.655660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No50c87.94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.193151.6%16 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+89.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No50c66.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.238425%21 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a0…a393backed No51c62.75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed No52c62.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.033571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No50c59.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0710160.4%61 W · 40 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa187…aa65backed No51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No50c51.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.517566.7%50 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.522652.2%118 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.532955.9%184 W · 145 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259349.5%46 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed No50c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.59339.8%37 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed No50c48.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.468143.2%35 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed No50c45.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.792166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked No51c41.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c39.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7772548.6%352 W · 373 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5f5…fa5cbacked Yes50c39.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed No51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.228562.4%53 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x607a…4aeabacked No51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5af6…842ebacked Yes44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No61c29.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.699643.8%42 W · 54 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No50c29.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.978953.9%48 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe23…5072backed No51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes44c27.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3812846.9%60 W · 68 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No50c26.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.443053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c98…01bbbacked Yes50c23.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9642444.1%187 W · 237 L-22.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No58c18.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.786157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.