Champions League · resolved market
PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x699ba580e68d2b54783ca3438159401cb667a2ebb6117b8b0f871eb463c88c61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86da…6428backed Over | 39c | 18,923$7,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,379.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 0c | 15,769$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 0c | 10,503$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,062 | 36.3%386 W · 676 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 14c | 3,879$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.05 | 542 | 39.5%214 W · 328 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 13c | 3,110$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.96 | 799 | 35.3%282 W · 517 L | -36.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…442fbacked Under | 61c | 3,060$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 69c | 2,338$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.18 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.98 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 30c | 1,837$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.85 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 60c | 1,562$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.8 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 20c | 1,500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 6c | 1,235$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 41c | 1,209$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.72 | 358 | 32.7%117 W · 241 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 61c | 918.71$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.68 | 973 | 32.2%313 W · 660 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 39c | 851$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.89 | 497 | 51.9%258 W · 239 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 39c | 736.65$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.29 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 61c | 702.93$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.59 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 4c | 684.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 1,596 | 39.8%636 W · 960 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 39c | 465.79$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.66 | 357 | 46.8%167 W · 190 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 60c | 420$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 31c | 395.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 329 | 31.9%105 W · 224 L | -26.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 39c | 359.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 68c | 348$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 266 | 53.8%143 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 60c | 249.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…340bbacked Over | 21c | 210$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Under | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Over | 40c | 151.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Over | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 121.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 725 | 48.6%352 W · 373 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Over | 41c | 116.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…fa8fbacked Over | 40c | 110.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 68c | 105.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 161 | 67.1%108 W · 53 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 40c | 101.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 424 | 44.1%187 W · 237 L | -22.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Over | 40c | 83.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7c…c310backed Over | 40c | 73.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…2caebacked Over | 41c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 61c | 61.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 69c | 59.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 59c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Over | 40c | 54.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…774cbacked Under | 70c | 48.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 41c | 48.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0085…1d78backed Over | 40c | 47.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 219 | 42.9%94 W · 125 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 61c | 45.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 61c | 44.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…50b8backed Under | 58c | 44.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +238.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 59c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbda0…d3adbacked Under | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 65c | 34.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…2072backed Over | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3aa…ab99backed Under | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…edb5backed Under | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 42c | 26.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 40c | 25.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 137 | 67.2%92 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…fbe1backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 62c | 24.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…9c01backed Under | 60c | 18.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Under | 63c | 15.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 2.5this page
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: AEK O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: AEK O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 3.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 4.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 5.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: PFK Levski Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: Team to AdvanceAEK won
- Spread: AEK (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
- Spread: AEK (-2.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)AEK won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)AEK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.