Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Hugo Gaston
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf07f607369ad305643d671e729e5b458d2e0dd2b3f92becb14d86fe18b9a906a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ignacio Buseof Ignacio Buse, Hugo Gaston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hugo Gaston | 5c | 10,002$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.59 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Hugo Gaston | 5c | 2,410$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…a0d0backed Hugo Gaston | 8c | 1,994$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Hugo Gaston | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…c370backed Ignacio Buse | 77c | 1,351$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Ignacio Buse | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Hugo Gaston | 23c | 1,005$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.15 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Hugo Gaston | 26c | 999.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hugo Gaston | 5c | 967.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Ignacio Buse | 74c | 931.77$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.26 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Hugo Gaston | 3c | 635.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Hugo Gaston | 23c | 578.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.23 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Ignacio Buse | 75c | 566.74$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Hugo Gaston | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Hugo Gaston | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Hugo Gaston | 23c | 387.91$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Hugo Gaston | 23c | 371.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Ignacio Buse | 77c | 351.42$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 331 | 63.7%211 W · 120 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed Hugo Gaston | 5c | 294.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Hugo Gaston | 9c | 283.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Hugo Gaston | 17c | 236.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Hugo Gaston | 8c | 183.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Ignacio Buse | 73c | 158.23$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hugo Gaston | 14c | 147$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hugo Gaston | 27c | 143.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hugo Gaston | 17c | 137.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hugo Gaston | 14c | 135.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Ignacio Buse | 77c | 128.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Hugo Gaston | 24c | 128$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hugo Gaston | 15c | 126$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Hugo Gaston | 15c | 124.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…3a2fbacked Hugo Gaston | 23c | 81.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…3faebacked Hugo Gaston | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Hugo Gaston | 21c | 79.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Hugo Gaston | 24c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Hugo Gaston | 23c | 74.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Hugo Gaston | 22c | 56.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Ignacio Buse | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Ignacio Buse | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Ignacio Buse | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Hugo Gaston | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Hugo Gaston | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc53…9255backed Ignacio Buse | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Ignacio Buse | 76c | 39.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Ignacio Buse | 74c | 38.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…905dbacked Ignacio Buse | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…2044backed Ignacio Buse | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Ignacio Buse | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.