Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on May 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0e8a005290e9e8f05c3ccf1c5ffd14381703528d74dabb11701a0e026b93f85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 411.27$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.63 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a280backed No | 75c | 332.79$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.3 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 283.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.32 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 38c | 279$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 27c | 267.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.43 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 69c | 223.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 71c | 206.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 193$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.53 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 40c | 187.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 31c | 166.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 34c | 160$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.55 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 40c | 141.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Yes | 50c | 136.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 37c | 133.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 19c | 131.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 36c | 127.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 43c | 113.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 28c | 110.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 54c | 110.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…f8c6backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 35c | 99.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 62c | 98.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 32c | 97.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 94.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 94.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 31c | 80.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 72c | 77.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 53c | 77.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…f9debacked Yes | 55c | 76.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 59 | 93.2%55 W · 4 L | +21.7wins | +0.37per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 79+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…2f0fbacked Yes | 53c | 68.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…5d8bbacked No | 69c | 67.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 53c | 67.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 68c | 66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 77c | 65.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…bf2abacked Yes | 57c | 63.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 63.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…da78backed Yes | 44c | 63.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 265 | 33.2%88 W · 177 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 42c | 61.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 26c | 60.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 66c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…8b44backed Yes | 52c | 57.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 55.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 55c | 54.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 73c | 49.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 56c | 48.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 30c | 45.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…5f51backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…9f2abacked Yes | 39c | 42.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 27c | 41.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…1879backed Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 43 | 93%40 W · 3 L | +14.6wins | +0.34per pick | 59cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 45c | 39.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 63c | 39.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 27c | 39.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…0408backed Yes | 41c | 35.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 30c | 34.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed Yes | 37c | 32.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 62c | 32.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 63c | 31.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…dadbbacked No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…b8a8backed Yes | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…f0eabacked No | 64c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 93 | 62.4%58 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 38c | 26.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 315 | 64.8%204 W · 111 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 51c | 24.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…b04abacked Yes | 52c | 22.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 72c | 21.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 54c | 20.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc44…2adbbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…5cf7backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 208 | 52.4%109 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…10ffbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6390…9bf0backed No | 70c | 19.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…4d56backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x608a…966bbacked No | 67c | 17.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…008abacked No | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddd…cab9backed No | 71c | 15.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 73c | 15.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on May 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on May 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.