MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0eb70f8524b9bea1c36da16fdf87091811e95aa1ff1727a33ad2068959df200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 40c | 9,628$3,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cardinals | 33c | 7,566$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cardinals | 57c | 5,500$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.98 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 42c | 4,818$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.2 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Padres | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cardinals | 54c | 2,899$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.79 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 14c | 2,530$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.09 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Padres | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.93 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 13c | 2,338$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.67 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Cardinals | 58c | 2,328$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Cardinals | 57c | 2,300$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.99 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Padres | 57c | 2,197$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.61 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Padres | 52c | 2,006$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.05 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Padres | 78c | 1,886$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.8 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 10c | 1,877$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.42 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 4c | 1,720$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cardinals | 58c | 1,568$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.69 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Cardinals | 55c | 1,500$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 56c | 1,445$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.08 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Padres | 43c | 1,314$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.17 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 57c | 1,312$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.84 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cardinals | 57c | 1,237$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.45 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Padres | 43c | 1,187$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.47 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Padres | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.91 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Padres | 45c | 1,150$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Padres | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Padres | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 62c | 1,071$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.91 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Padres | 72c | 963.84$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.85 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Cardinals | 57c | 873.6$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.95 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cardinals | 55c | 843.64$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.55 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Padres | 43c | 793.02$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.02 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Cardinals | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…a9c4backed Padres | 67c | 667.38$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cardinals | 55c | 595$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.25 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Padres | 57c | 581.35$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.13 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cardinals | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Padres | 43c | 496.36$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.86 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 56c | 476.96$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.34 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Padres | 43c | 462.79$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.79 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Padres | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Padres | 54c | 298.35$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.9 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Padres | 63c | 285.1$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Padres | 60c | 283.73$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.44 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Padres | 58c | 279.44$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Padres | 58c | 278.68$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Padres | 59c | 277.89$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 43c | 273.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Padres | 53c | 273.32$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 42c | 249.58$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.75 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Cardinals | 37c | 240.6$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Padres | 42c | 239$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Padres | 43c | 233.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.88 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 58c | 232.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Padres | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…337fbacked Padres | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Cardinals | 58c | 229.31$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Padres | 64c | 225.44$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Padres | 64c | 219.44$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 44c | 218$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.08 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Padres | 43c | 211.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Cardinals | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Cardinals | 42c | 202.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Padres | 67c | 185.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cardinals | 42c | 177.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Padres | 43c | 170$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 24c | 164.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Padres | 43c | 163$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 58c | 161$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 23c | 134.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cardinals | 57c | 119.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…b3d0backed Padres | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Cardinals | 56c | 111$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Padres | 44c | 109.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Padres | 63c | 103.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cardinals | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Padres | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Padres | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…6678backed Padres | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b9…156fbacked Cardinals | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Padres | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Padres | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Cardinals | 58c | 93.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Padres | 48c | 92.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Padres | 73c | 89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Padres | 61c | 84.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Cardinals | 40c | 81.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…754fbacked Padres | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…b798backed Cardinals | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Padres | 42c | 65.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e59…6e24backed Padres | 44c | 63.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…a92dbacked Padres | 43c | 61.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Cardinals | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Padres | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.