Tennis · resolved market
San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Mili Poljicak
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf10dcf9254c041e7f963d2ecf88d4d6bee49ae76b5b116b212af9b518e9cb8b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Acostaof Facundo Acosta, Mili Poljicak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Mili Poljicak | 12c | 22,055$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.6 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mili Poljicak | 14c | 13,052$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.43 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mili Poljicak | 22c | 11,411$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.53 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mili Poljicak | 22c | 7,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…ad6abacked Facundo Acosta | 80c | 1,750$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mili Poljicak | 15c | 1,564$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.62 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Mili Poljicak | 9c | 1,503$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68b…cfbabacked Mili Poljicak | 20c | 1,011$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.73 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mili Poljicak | 21c | 877.32$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Mili Poljicak | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mili Poljicak | 7c | 695.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Facundo Acosta | 75c | 580.06$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Mili Poljicak | 23c | 445.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Mili Poljicak | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 244 | 31.1%76 W · 168 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Mili Poljicak | 24c | 426.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.39 | 415 | 35.4%147 W · 268 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Mili Poljicak | 9c | 424.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Mili Poljicak | 22c | 317.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Mili Poljicak | 19c | 251.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mili Poljicak | 22c | 227$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Mili Poljicak | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 36.2%187 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…680bbacked Mili Poljicak | 13c | 192$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mili Poljicak | 23c | 166.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Mili Poljicak | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 947 | 51.1%484 W · 463 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 122.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 1,022 | 57.8%591 W · 431 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Mili Poljicak | 15c | 114.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 101.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 114 | 62.3%71 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Mili Poljicak | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 954 | 45.5%434 W · 520 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Mili Poljicak | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 708 | 29.1%206 W · 502 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Mili Poljicak | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 456 | 46.3%211 W · 245 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Mili Poljicak | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Mili Poljicak | 20c | 94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Mili Poljicak | 17c | 86.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Mili Poljicak | 17c | 83.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 396 | 46.5%184 W · 212 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Mili Poljicak | 17c | 78.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Mili Poljicak | 26c | 70.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Mili Poljicak | 30c | 68.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mili Poljicak | 19c | 64.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Facundo Acosta | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Mili Poljicak | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 950 | 47.7%453 W · 497 L | +34.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Mili Poljicak | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 51.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678a…05ffbacked Mili Poljicak | 24c | 46.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…857bbacked Facundo Acosta | 77c | 40.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf12…7e2cbacked Mili Poljicak | 30c | 38.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Facundo Acosta | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 388 | 66.2%257 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 26.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 207 | 71%147 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Facundo Acosta | 75c | 20.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Facundo Acosta | 76c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 593 | 47.4%281 W · 312 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.