CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf124ef1f1d5580e0f4ade4cce49388eda14487ab66ff84bde5f819331efdaac2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNCof Ursa, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Ursa | 46c | 4,187$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.48 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Ursa | 41c | 3,011$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.28 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Ursa | 45c | 2,243$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.41 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed TNC | 53c | 1,974$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.68 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 54c | 1,298$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.55 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Ursa | 49c | 1,210$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.07 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TNC | 52c | 1,147$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.26 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Ursa | 42c | 1,114$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.13 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed TNC | 49c | 1,047$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.47 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed TNC | 55c | 918.44$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.17 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed TNC | 48c | 756.96$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.33 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked TNC | 52c | 725.39$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.99 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed TNC | 48c | 631.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.25 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Ursa | 43c | 620$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.6 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Ursa | 43c | 599.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed TNC | 56c | 589$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.08 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b05…acd6backed TNC | 67c | 571.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed TNC | 48c | 552.06$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.07 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked TNC | 48c | 501.83$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TNC | 60c | 458.78$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed TNC | 51c | 434.35$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.59 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed TNC | 57c | 421.05$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked Ursa | 40c | 398.04$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.28 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked TNC | 56c | 383$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Ursa | 48c | 348.4$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Ursa | 46c | 338.84$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.58 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked TNC | 52c | 325.9$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.43 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed TNC | 70c | 305.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed TNC | 45c | 305.03$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.77 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed TNC | 53c | 303.31$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.81 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed TNC | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TNC | 76c | 299.2$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TNC | 71c | 282.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed TNC | 53c | 252.15$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked TNC | 57c | 225.16$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed TNC | 46c | 224.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed TNC | 77c | 223.49$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TNC | 58c | 201.47$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.12 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TNC | 76c | 197$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Ursa | 47c | 196.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TNC | 58c | 195.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed TNC | 49c | 166$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked TNC | 57c | 157.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ursa | 55c | 152.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed TNC | 57c | 146.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed TNC | 55c | 141.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Ursa | 54c | 137.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed TNC | 47c | 125.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…0787backed TNC | 47c | 122.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed Ursa | 55c | 114.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed TNC | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Ursa | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Ursa | 77c | 96.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Ursa | 54c | 95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked Ursa | 56c | 89.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed TNC | 60c | 84.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked TNC | 45c | 82.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TNC | 56c | 71.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Ursa | 28c | 65.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed TNC | 70c | 56.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Ursa | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Ursa | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked TNC | 76c | 44.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…73d0backed TNC | 56c | 44.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Ursa | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed TNC | 58c | 32.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Ursa | 36c | 31.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Ursa | 36c | 28.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed TNC | 49c | 26.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…c59bbacked TNC | 67c | 25.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs TNC - Map 1 WinnerTNC won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs TNC - Map 2 WinnerTNC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.