Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Taipei Men: Yen-Chun Wang vs Kuan-Shou Chen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf127707646d16debbab6ae6d151c95b84d192ac60769f1a65b25444613aba283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kuan-Shou Chenof Yen-Chun Wang, Kuan-Shou Chen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yen-Chun Wang | 17c | 1,602$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.2 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yen-Chun Wang | 31c | 699.95$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.99 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yen-Chun Wang | 33c | 423.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.94 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yen-Chun Wang | 38c | 414$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.23 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Kuan-Shou Chen | 74c | 317.57$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.46 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yen-Chun Wang | 38c | 276$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kuan-Shou Chen | 60c | 206.53$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yen-Chun Wang | 40c | 194.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yen-Chun Wang | 41c | 134.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x513d…54c5backed Kuan-Shou Chen | 57c | 103.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yen-Chun Wang | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…a221backed Kuan-Shou Chen | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Yen-Chun Wang | 33c | 75.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yen-Chun Wang | 21c | 64.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Kuan-Shou Chen | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yen-Chun Wang | 42c | 54.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Kuan-Shou Chen | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yen-Chun Wang | 43c | 48.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Yen-Chun Wang | 41c | 43.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Kuan-Shou Chen | 66c | 38.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Kuan-Shou Chen | 70c | 37.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yen-Chun Wang | 44c | 36.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Yen-Chun Wang | 35c | 36.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yen-Chun Wang | 38c | 34.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Kuan-Shou Chen | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Kuan-Shou Chen | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yen-Chun Wang | 38c | 26.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Kuan-Shou Chen | 61c | 23.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Kuan-Shou Chen | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Kuan-Shou Chen | 58c | 17.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Kuan-Shou Chen | 67c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.