Fifa International · resolved market
Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Kenya end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1380a52c37fe6c3dbda30c897bbae0d8c61059d43dcde343060720b2d8faea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 5c | 5,662$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.22 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…159cbacked No | 12c | 4,738$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 9c | 1,605$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +18.5wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…603bbacked No | 6c | 1,594$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 4c | 1,460$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked No | 15c | 1,397$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…e765backed No | 1c | 1,128$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 7c | 1,027$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 6c | 934$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…b090backed No | 2c | 875.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed No | 10c | 778.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 9c | 760.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 6c | 604$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 6c | 583.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked No | 10c | 562.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 11c | 491$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 7c | 396.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 6c | 394.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed No | 11c | 283.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed No | 10c | 191.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 6c | 190$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Kenya end in a draw?this page
- Will Kenya win on 2026-06-03?No won
- Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-06-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.