MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2c69d5cd55151d5f98a50b90a831dff093cd45f262179f1078968a8a617158f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Texas Rangers, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 7,484$4,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.83 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 3,326$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 2,653$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 2,604$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.04 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 1,747$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.89 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,459$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 998.63$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 578.46$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.46 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 578.46$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.46 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 521.24$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.31 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 424.03$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 410$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.21 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 346.17$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 334.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 316.69$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 194.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 187$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 182.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…ccf1backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 163.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f0…5860backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 152.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d9…7e2ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 142.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…af91backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 140.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…189ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 122.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…0b12backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 112.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 105.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Texas Rangers | 40c | 102.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dad…356bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 78.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 68.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 66.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 63.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 62.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers | 68c | 61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 54.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 44.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 38.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…f6b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 36.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 36.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 35.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 32.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 30.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 28.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 26.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 24.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 23.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 19.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…9368backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 16.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…ff43backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 15.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis CardinalsTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.